I thought I'd chime in on the inference vs. prediction discussion.  I have been 
working with students on understanding that an inference is when you combine 
your background knowledge with clues from the text.  We have also spent time 
discussing the "evidence" that you have when you make an inference.  I took an 
idea from Tanny McGregor's book and instead of using my purse to determine 
importance I used my the contents of my purse to help kids infer what they know 
about me.  For example, one can infer that I like to read because of my library 
card and the Borders card on my keychain.  Library card and Borders card = 
evidence.  That kind of thing...

An interesting book that I have used with inference is Visitng Day by Woodson.  
The story begins with a little girl getting ready for something.  We read one 
page at a time and infer meaning based on evidence from the text and pictures.  
Towards the end of the story the kids learn that the little girl is going to 
visit her father who is in prison.  It's a powerful book.  

One of the big ideas that kids come away with is that your inference continues 
to change as you keep getting new "evidence" from the story.  

Lisa/OH

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