I wonder how many rare birds (casual, accidental, first in state, first in country) we miss annually? When one considers the following factors:

* Areas that are rarely, or never, covered

* Birders' lack of familiarity with birds outside their region

* Birders' audio skills (eg, how many of us here in Minnesota would have picked up on the recent Western Wood-Peewee's call?)

* Birds' ability to skulk, hide and otherwise camouflage their presence & activity

* Disparity between birds' and birders' time of activity (how many of us get out early enough in the morning, or late enough in the evening?)

* And other variables.

So, do we pick up on 2% of our rarer visitors?  5%?  10%?

Additionally, when we do pick up on a rarity, is it truly the only one in the state, or one of many?

Speculations on a muggy June Wednesday morning (having enjoyed a Golden-winged and Canada Warbler prior to starting).

Good birding to all!

Al Schirmacher
Princeton, MN
Mille Lacs & Sherburne Counties
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