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The Zurich Investment Group Newsletter
 
U.S. Market Update
 .Global Quantitative Strategy
Thursday
March 21, 2002.
Mark Zuckerman
Managing Director
Research
Zurich Investment Group

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Market Comment
The market is amazingly stubborn here. We believe the volatility is decreasing as the trends for both the DJIA and Nasdaq wind into more narrow ranges. This can go on for some time, as in months, but will eventually lead to a bigger move, in our opinion.
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-U.S. Market News
NEW YORK - The first day of spring brought gloom to the stock market as chip issues slid Wednesday on the wings of somber analyst comments on Intel and drug issues came under pressure after Bristol Myers plunged on disappointing results for one of its drugs.
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_Asia Market News

TOKYO -- Japan's Nikkei Average sagged 2.3 percent Wednesday as investors rushed to pocket profits ahead of a holiday, ignoring the U.S. Federal Reserve's signal that the world's biggest economy was on the mend.
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_Europe Market News

LONDON - European equity markets remained weak at the close on Wednesday as Wall Street fell during morning trade following the Federal Reserve's switch to a neutral stance on interest rates.
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_Taiwan Market Update

1. Asia Optical (5462 TT) announced on March 20 the issue of US$60 million in 5-year zero coupon Euro-CB with the proceeds to be used to (1) purchase manufacturing equipment, (2) repay bank loans, (3) establish e-business and Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) systems, and (4) increase investment. NSC Securities (Asia) Ltd. is the lead manager for the sale. The bonds will have 2-year and 3-year put options, giving bondholders the right to exercise their options on the second and third anniversaries of the issue date, with a yield rate of 4.04% and 4.59%, respectively. Bondholders may opt to convert their bonds into Asia Optical common stock at a conversion price of NT$338, representing 7% premium to the closing price on March 20, 2002. The conversion period will begin 30 days after the bonds are issued and end 30 days prior to the redemption date. Parties interested in gaining more information can call the International Business Department of National Securities at (886 2) 2316-5058.
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DOWJONES
10,501.57
-133.6
-1.26%


NASDAQ

1,832.87
-48.00
-2.55%

NEWZEALAND
2062.38
-12.64
-0.61%

TAIWAN
6052.12
-6.94
-0.11%

HONGKONG
10887.27
-149.33
-1.35%

FTSE100
5266.90
-49.20
-0.93%

NIKKEI225
11526.78
-266.04
-2.26%

AUSTRALIA
3385.40
-26.40
-0.77%

Equity Analysis

James Morgan
Senior Analyst
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US: Leading Indicators Expected to Post Modest Rise
After strong gains in the last three months, the index of leading indicators (LEI) should rise modestly in February. The strong upward momentum in the LEI in recent months is suggestive of a sharp upturn in manufacturing output growth over the near term, something the ISM new orders index has been hinting at as well.

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Market Report

Monica Marais
Senior Analyst
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IN THIS REPORT:
n Growth Stock: JBL reports lower than expected results and lowers EPS forecast for the full year.
n Ratings Change: Downgrading BMY to HOLD from BUY.
n Initiating Coverage: Celanese AG now under coverage with a BUY rating.
n Growth Stock: HOLD-rated WPI turns in quarterly results at the high end of reduced expectations.

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Equity Analysis

Joseph Wong
Senior Analyst
E-mail

Companies Included
NOK At the CTIA show, we hosted a meeting with K.P. Wilska, President, Nokia.
MOT Motorola's PCS division hosted an upbeat analyst meeting at the CTIA show.
PWAV Upbeat Meeting With Management; Quarter remains on track
ERICY UPBEAT MEETING WITH ERICSSON MANAGEMENT AND SONY ERICSSON ANALYST
DAY

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