Remember: our rules allow pointed disagreement, but require respectful discussion. -- Well, it seems to me that the Strib's determination of "likely voters" was mediocre, at best. Mainly because it appears to be entirely based on the voter's self-reporting about voter history, etc. And it's well known that people tend to lie in such situations -- they respond the way they think they are supposed to -- they'll mostly claim to be a good citizen who votes in every election. There is no indication, for example, that the Strib actually checked the voter history file to see if these people actually voted when they said they did. That file is readily available, and checking it would give a much better indication of "likeliness" to vote. Tim Bonham, Ward 12 >This is what the Strib said about the poll -- they did poll "likely voters"... > >Likelihood to vote was determined in a two-step process. First, those who >indicated they would not vote in the election were excluded. Next, the >responses of those who were included were weighted for likelihood to vote. >Based on answers to questions about voting history, interest in the election, >registration status and probability of voting, responses of those likeliest >to vote were assigned heavier weights and those less likely were assigned >lower weights. >============================= >So what do folks think -- is this a good way to determin likely voters? _______________________________________ Minneapolis Issues Forum - Mn E-Democracy Post messages to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subscribe, Unsubscribe, Digest option, and more: http://e-democracy.org/mpls
