With four days to go before the 3rd ward primary, I thought it would be
interesting to look back at last year's primary results to see if they might
provide some insight, since two of the candidates from that race are running
again.

One of the really interesting things I learned was when I look at precinct
breakdowns for Shane Price and Valdis Rozentals.  Most people would probably
think that Valdis got most of his support from NE voters and they would be
right as 87% of the 488 votes he received came from NE precincts.
Conversely, most would probably think that most of Shane Price's support
came from N voters.  While that's technically true, it was interesting to
see that only 52% of the 532 votes Shane received came from N voters.  So
almost half of Shane's support came from NE voters, a good sign for him
given that the NE precincts generally have a better turnout from the voters.

It makes me wonder now, with there being 20 candidates in this primary,
eleven of whom are NE residents and seven who are N residents (the other 3
did not give specific addresses when they filed), how will all of this shake
out?

On one hand, we have Don Samuels, a DFLer whose supporters single him out as
being an "authentic community voice" and who is praised for having made the
choice to move back to one of the most poverty-stricken areas of Minneapolis
after making it big for himself as a corporate VP and who has been a
community activist in Jordan neighborhood.

On another hand, we have a NE community activist who was endorsed by the
Republican party in Valdis Rozentals whose parents immigrated to Minneapolis
from Latvia and has lived in St. Anthony West for five years. Who has served
on the St. Anthony West Neighborhood Assocation, the Minneapolis Committee
for Urban Environment and the Mississippi Corridor Neighborhood Coalition.

Or we have Margo Ashmore, a DFLer who has lived in NE Minneapolis for 13
years and has owned the Northeaster newspaper for 20 years and the North
News newspaper for 10 years and is involved with more associations than I
can bear to type, but most recently and perhaps most notably the NE CDC,
which has raised questions about whether that leads to a conflict of
interest with being a city council candidate.

Or we have Olin Moore, who lives in Sheridan, but previously lived in North
Minneapolis for five years and was a board member for whatever neighborhood
he lived in during his years in North Minneapolis (the lit that I have
doesn't say) and has worked for Martin Sabo for nine years and has the DFL
endorsement and the support of Mike Erlandson, the state DFL chair.

And then we have Shane Price, who grew up in North Minneapolis and still
lives there today.  Who has lived in his current home in Hawthorne
neighborhood for the past nine years, who has served on the Hawthorne Area
Community Council, during which time he helped organize a community rally
against "Hooker's Row" back in 1994 to clean up the streets of the johns and
prostitutes that were taking away the neighborhood.  Who in 1995, decided to
fight back against the drug dealers who were taking over Broadway Ave. and
started the West Broadway March for Peace and Justice, which became an
annual event and has expanded in scope to include such things as job fairs,
voter registration drives and forums on peacemaking and racism.  Who, as an
employee for Hennepin County, developed an innovative peacemaking initiative
to address child abuse and neglect that was the first of its kind in the
nation and who now serves as project manager for the African American Men
Project. 

And who is featured in a recently-published anthology of activists for
social justice entitled "The Compassionate Rebel: Energized by Anger,
Motivated by Love" which is co-published by Growing Communities for Peace of
Scandia, MN (www.peacemaker.org) and Triangle Park Creative of Minneapolis
(www.triangleparkcreative.com).  [Whatever your feelings about Shane, this
is a really amazing book and I strongly urge people on this list to check it
out!]

Plus we have fifteen other candidates about whom little has been said beyond
nobody currently involved with JACC seems to remember there being a Matt
Thoren involved with them.  Will any of these candidates be factors?

As I've said before, I do think Shane and Valdis have some advantage from
having run in last year's campaign.  Their names are still familiar to
voters and if they can reconnect with the same voters who supported them
last time, I think they'd have to be considered frontrunners, although I do
wonder if Valdis will lose some votes because of his Republican endorsement
this time around.  I also think the DFL might find themselves with a problem
given that they have three well-known candidates who claim affiliation with
their party and the one that was actually endorsed appears to be the least
well-known of the three.  Personally, I'm hoping all of this, plus his
strong showing last year and the tremendous efforts of great gardeners like
Robert Yorga, will mean good news for Shane on Monday night and that 3rd
Ward is finally ready for HOPE and CHANGE.

Mark Snyder
Windom Park

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