Ah, pensions.  Oregon offers a glimpse of a potential Minneapolis future:
The PERS (Public Employees Retirement System) has gone from an $8 billion
deficit a year ago to $14 billion.  Because everyone involved is a "good"
person, no one wants to come out and use words like "stupid," "liars," and
"incompetent."  Here is the deal:  the PERS board is all PERS people (soon
to be changed) who kept voting for their own retirements.  When it was
pointed out that they were using the wrong actuary tables, they refused to
change them because it would have meant a reduction in payouts.  Now before
people begin to get sorry, some retirees are getting 125% of their last
year's pay, plus COLAs and medical.  Pretty sweet.  It gets better.  Where
does this shortfall come from.  jurisdictions which, by state law, must meet
their PERS obligations.  Many smaller communities have laid all off but a
mayor and a secretary.  What was the formula used to get here?  People can
rightly bash corporations for cooking the books, but the feds and states are
far better at it.  Check this out:  Oregon mandated that it would be
"unfair" for the PERS funds not to get at least 8% return, the number that
was projected to yield the return they wanted which, ORIGINALLY, was to be
50% of a retiree's last year's pay.  So if PERS money managers didn't get 8%
return, the difference is made up by the tax payers.  Makes Enron, Worldcom
and Adelphia look like small potatoes.  But it gets better yet:  it was also
decreed that it would be UNFAIR if the stock market gained 15% and PERS
didn't also.  SO, if PERS gets, say 8% as targeted, and the stock market
gets 15% (think 90s, people), then PERS also gets 15%, with the "missing" 7%
made up by the tax payers.  And then the state and Portland scratch their
heads asking why businesses are leaving, the tax base is getting smaller,
etc.  And less for police, education, housing, etc.  Hence the latest
Doonesbury cartoon of the college taking anyone except applicants from
Oregon.  It's so bad here that Intel, with a huge plant here, won't hire
Oregon graduates, as they don't know enough.  When a parent who worked for
Intel told the Site Council we both sat on four years ago this fact the
teachers were unmoved; I was simultaneously pushing for Internet use in the
classroom especially for homework (brings back the tutors) and one said the
Internet was a fad and will go away.  Others said they weren't buying home
computers unless the school district got them one, as neighboring Beaverton
did and paid them to learn to use them.  The older ones told me they didn't
want to rock the boat, that they were nearing retirement, and that was their
only goal.  It is very difficult for the well intentioned to function among
the ill-intentioned and/or inept.  Remember, all of these are "good" people.
But the system goes down anyway.  Judging people is just not to be done and
certainly not hurting their feelings.  Ah, the New Age.  And the biggest
Enron-ders of all:  the US Congress.  Most will get $3 million in
retirement, both Democrats and Republicans.  Fairness is in the eye of the
beholder (or is it the eye of the recipient?).  At one of the hearings last
year in Congress, it was shown that if the same monies paid out to SS by
workers then retiring, would have averaged $6,200 each/month, $12,400 for a
couple, and, if they died, could still leave it to their heirs.  We need to
get beyond SS and retirement talks as if there was only a Democratic side
and a Republican side, and think about what will work best, regardless of
party, for the citizen tax payer.
Peter Jessen, Portland


David wrote 3/10/03:  A few list members have asked for a link to Scott
Russell's Premack
Award-winning pensions story. This one should work:

http://makeashorterlink.com/?A2AC121C3

[Note: there are several links at the top of the story to charts - those
links may not work. Scott's story begins with:

"A major reason why city taxes are going up while departments such as the
police are taking personnel cuts is rising pension costs. One of every six
dollars of Mayor R.T. Rybak's proposed 2003 tax increase will pay for
higher-than-expected pension costs. ..."]

I also noticed that we linked the pension deficit to the cost of a new
library - purely illustrative at the time, but as it turns out, prescient.

Enjoy!

David Brauer
King Field
Editor, Southwest Journal and Skyway News


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