Back when they were still working on railroading through the Hiawatha
train, Metro Transit stated that the number of buses in operation could be
doubled for $440 million.  It's undoubtedly a little higher now, with
inflation.

Imagine your wait for a bus being about half as long.  Imagine a bus with
perhaps 2/3 as many people (less crowded.)  Imagine a faster ride.  Imagine
a more reliable schedule because there is less crowding at stops.

All of these would happen in this scenario.  Instead, they buy a train for
about 2/3 MORE than that $440 million, to improve things on one route out
of 200 in the metro area, and then the service is cut back on some of the
other 199 because of budget issues.  There will be more cuts in the future
because of lrt.  The claim was that the was enough money in the long range
plan to fund combined bus and train operation with only one fare increase
necessary in 2007 or so.  We've already seen a couple of increases before
the train even started rolling.

Ramsey County wants to build lrt between the downtowns on University
Avenue because it envies Minneapolis.  Costing "only" $880 million for
an even shorter length of track with no additional maintenance facility,
it will vastly congest University to the point where the county projects
that there will be only about 16 blocks along University between the
Minneapolis/Saint Paul border and Regions Hospital that won't have one or
two lanes of cars and trucks backed up during rush hour.  The cumulative
length of the backups with lrt is about 60% HIGHER than without.

Lrt doesn't cut pollution or auto use enough (0.1%) to even be 1/10 of
the model's margin of error.

In the San Jose area, they have lrt and buses.  They have a $6 billion
budget problem over the next ten years, so they are cutting bus (and even
lrt) service to meet the budget.  That's so that they can build more rail
service, so that they can cut bus service more in the future.

In Los Angeles, they cut bus service to build lrt and a subway.  They were
successfully sued by the NAACP and the Bus Riders' Union and are under a
consent decree to provide a certain level of bus service.  The transit
agency has publicly stated that when the consent decree expires in 2007,
they plan to get rid of the extra buses that they had to add.

A lot of train pushers point to Dallas as a success story.  Depends on how
you measure success.  DART rail was supposed to pay 50% of its operating
and maintenance costs with passenger fares.  In 1985 it was 35%, in 2001
it was 12%.  See the trend?


Visit www.EffectiveTransit.org

The Independent Unsubsidized Voice of

Citizens for Effective Transit in the Twin Cities

* lrt isn't a potato chip, you can stop at just one *

Bruce Gaarder
Highland Park
Saint Paul
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