Hi Vincent,

Very nice blog article. Only a note that in the case of 464XLAT, the stateless 
NAT46  only happens if there is no DNS64 (in the host - self-synthesis - or in 
the network), so mainly only when using literals (for example ping 8.8.8.8 
instead of ping dns.google.com). So in practice, this tends to be much less 
than 1% of the traffic. Instead in MAP-T it is 100% of the traffic.

Something that we always forget is that 50% is the IPv6 traffic without China. 
If we could count China IPv6 traffic, it will be already 65-70% right now.

Regards,
Jordi

@jordipalet

> El 18 jun 2026, a las 6:38, Vincent Bernat via NANOG <[email protected]> 
> escribió:
> 
> On 2026-06-16 09:08, Lu Heng via NANOG wrote:
> 
>> One observation is that IPv4 scarcity remains one of the few genuine
>> scarcity mechanisms in the Internet industry. From an economic perspective,
>> many stakeholders have incentives to continue operating within that
>> framework rather than accelerate a transition that would largely eliminate
>> it.
> 
> I've worked for a cloud provider, a content provider, and an ISP. In all 
> cases, there was no interest in artificially keeping IPv4 only. Cloud 
> providers interest are aligned with their customers: if customers want IPv6, 
> you'll implement IPv6. Small and large ISPs need IPv6 because large NAT boxes 
> are expensive to maintain and IPv6 have nicer mechanisms to provide IPv4 than 
> NAT44 or NAT444. Content providers are enabling IPv6 to workaround broken NAT 
> boxes and avoid blocking N unrelated customers because they share the same 
> IPv4 address. Once an ISP has most of its customers on IPv6, their traffic 
> becomes mostly IPv6.
> 
> Same discourse with a bit more details: 
> https://vincent.bernat.ch/en/blog/2024-why-ipv6
> 
> All this won't make IPv4 disappear, but IPv6 already transports most of the 
> Internet economy. Google stats show that more than half the users are on IPv6 
> and any IPv6-enabled stats show that two thirds of the services in volume are 
> on IPv6.
> 
> The only ones that have an economic interest in keeping IPv4 scarce are 
> people leasing and selling IPv4 (and you seem to be in this group).
> _______________________________________________
> NANOG mailing list 
> https://lists.nanog.org/archives/list/[email protected]/message/SC5O36U633TO4QDRP5PN6GZRPLT6EFI6/


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