At 07:37 AM 4/03/2006, Marshall Eubanks wrote:
On Mar 3, 2006, at 5:55 AM, Kurt Erik Lindqvist wrote:
On 2 mar 2006, at 06.16, Kevin Day wrote:
No, I'm just trying to be practical here... Estimates of IPv4 pool
exhaustion range from Mid 2008 (Tony Hain's ARIN presentation) to
roughly 2012 (Geoff Huston's ARIN presentation). Sooner if a mad
dash for space starts happening (or isn't happening already).
Does anyone here really believe that there is time for:
So what I think we might need (that I wrote in an internet-draft
some years ago) is the following things in exactly this order :
0. PI space with an artifically high barrier on entry yet available
when needed (read cost+administration=LIR or equiv.).
1. Ducttape ala shim6
2. One of breakthrough in graph-theory or a completely new
addressing/routing paradigm. Most like the latter.
I will bet anyone reading this $ 20 USD right now that what will
actually happen is
the development of a spot market in IPv4 address space.
That was part of the speculative component of my report at the time, and,
no, I won't be lining up to take your bet - I agree with you that such a
market is pretty much an inevitably.
Of course you could always start a futures market right now!
cheers,
Geoff
.