It comes from actual measurements in residential networks that already offer 
IPv6.

In typical residential networks, a very high % of the traffic is 
Google/Youtube, Netflix, Facebook, CDNs, etc., which all are IPv6 enabled.

Typically, is also similar in mobile networks, and this has been confirmed also 
by measurements in v6ops mailing list, for example from T-Mobile. If I recall 
correctly that was 3-4 years ago and was already 75% IPv6 traffic.

Enterprises usually have a lower IPv6 %, so actual numbers in a given ISP my 
depend on the ratio of enterprise/residential customers. It may also depend on 
the case of residentials, on the age of SmartTVs, which may not be IPv6 enabled.
 

El 26/3/22, 18:02, "John Levine" <[email protected]> escribió:

    It appears that JORDI PALET MARTINEZ via NANOG <[email protected]> 
said:
    >At the end, if you turn on IPv6 to residential customers, typically you 
will get 70-80% IPv6 traffic, so the state in the NAT64 using 464XLAT is lower 
and lower every day.

    Not disagreeing, but where does that number come from?  Anectodally, on my 
home network I see
    less than 50%.

    R's,
    John



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