[Not specific to the Juniper EoLs...] I sort of agree with Mark:
I've been sampling a fairly wide variety of sources in various parts of the global supply chain, and my synthesis of what they're saying is that we probably won't *consistently* have the ready availability of "stuff" (both electronic and not) we had pre-pandemic, for the rest of my career (10-15yrs), and maybe not in the lifetimes of anyone reading this today, either. Whether those sources are accurate, their interpretation is accurate, my synthesis is accurate, whether I'm listening to the right people in the first place... all debatable. I sure hope the above conclusion is wrong. One possible upside: it might slow down the incessant upgrade hamster-wheel we're all running on? Imagine having enough time to do your job thoroughly and properly... Yes, I know I'm dreaming :-). Adam Thompson Consultant, Infrastructure Services MERLIN 100 - 135 Innovation Drive Winnipeg, MB R3T 6A8 (204) 977-6824 or 1-800-430-6404 (MB only) https://www.merlin.mb.ca Chat with me on Teams: [email protected] > -----Original Message----- > From: NANOG <[email protected]> On Behalf > Of Mark Tinka > Sent: Tuesday, June 14, 2022 11:19 AM > To: [email protected] > Subject: Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements > > > > On 6/14/22 18:06, JASON BOTHE via NANOG wrote: > > > Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing > despite ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this. > > All this will do is keep these boxes off the open market, which will > simply bump up open market prices, with no incentive for the majority > of > folk to buy directly from the OEM. > > I suspect supply chain will improve within the next 12 months, but > then > regress and hit a massive crunch from around Q4'23 onward. How long > for, > I can't say... > > Mark.
