On 5/22/24 14:44, Paul Rolland wrote:

Yep, it hurts :(

  1. Gi0-3.rtr-01.PAR.witbe.net        0.0%   179    0.3   0.3   0.2  10.4   0.7
  2. 193.251.248.21                    0.0%   179    3.3   1.3   0.8  19.1   2.1
  3. bundle-ether305.partr2.saint-den  6.7%   179   87.1   4.5   1.1 156.7  17.4
  4. prs-b1-link.ip.twelve99.net      22.3%   179    9.9  10.4   9.6  48.3   4.4
  5. prs-bb2-link.ip.twelve99.net      2.2%   179   10.4  10.3   9.8  27.3   1.3
  6. mei-b5-link.ip.twelve99.net       1.1%   178   17.3  18.1  17.2 115.1   7.4
  7. prs-bb1-link.ip.twelve99.net     27.5%   178  370.6 365.9 334.7 381.8   8.3
  8. ldn-bb1-link.ip.twelve99.net     68.5%   178  366.8 363.0 340.8 379.2   8.3
  9. nyk-bb2-link.ip.twelve99.net     11.8%   178  377.6 362.4 322.2 451.0  12.3
10. palo-b24-link.ip.twelve99.net    50.8%   178  359.1 364.1 342.8 397.1   8.6
11. port-b3-link.ip.twelve99.net      0.0%   178  177.4 178.0 177.1 188.6   1.9
12. tky-b3-link.ip.twelve99.net      75.7%   178  355.2 364.0 339.8 377.5   8.0
13. tky-b2-link.ip.twelve99.net      50.0%   178  338.7 350.5 321.8 370.9  11.1
14. sng-b7-link.ip.twelve99.net      87.6%   178  307.8 318.6 306.8 332.0   6.7
15. sng-b5-link.ip.twelve99.net      86.4%   178  314.4 315.3 293.6 330.1  10.2
16. epsilon-ic-382489.ip.twelve99-cu 55.7%   177  364.8 362.9 346.5 391.8   9.1
17. 180.178.74.221                   59.9%   177  357.6 366.9 343.4 562.7  25.8
18. swi-01-sin.noc.witbe.net         62.9%   176  374.7 366.4 346.6 381.3   8.3

1299 is now routing Paris to Singapore via US and Pacific...

The good news is that the Yemeni government have approved repairs for EIG and SEACOM. The bad news is that those approvals don't yet extend to AAE-1, whose cut is the one causing you that pain.

It's unclear when, or if, Yemen will give permission to repair AAE-1. The market is speculating mid-June, but there is no hard data to support that.

Not sure if transition 6 to 7 is what was expected, with a 350ms increase...

Well, on Arelion's network, PAO-SIN = 260ms:

Tracing the route to 180.178.74.221

 1  sjo-b23-link.ip.twelve99.net (62.115.115.217) 2 msec  2 msec  2 msec
 2   *
    tky-b2-link.ip.twelve99.net (62.115.123.141) 187 msec  162 msec
 3   *  *  *
 4   *  *
    62.115.115.62 251 msec
 5   *
    hnk-b3-link.ip.twelve99.net (62.115.143.241) 257 msec  *
 6  sng-b4-link.ip.twelve99.net (62.115.116.146) 280 msec  *  222 msec
 7   *  *  *
 8   *  *  *
 9  180.178.74.221 265 msec  262 msec  *


For the moment, it looks like you've switched to Zayo for transit in Paris, so unclear what Arelion's on network would do PAO-CDG:

Tracing the route to 81.88.96.250

 1  sjo-b23-link.ip.twelve99.net (62.115.115.217) 2 msec  2 msec  2 msec
 2  ae71.zayo.ter1.sjc7.us.zip.zayo.com (64.125.15.150) 2 msec  *  *
 3   *  *  *
 4   *  *  *
 5   *  *  *
 6   *  *  *
 7   *  *  *
 8   *  *  *
 9  ae1.mcs1.cdg12.fr.eth.zayo.com (64.125.29.87) 148 msec  *  158 msec
 10 v3.ae10.ter3.eqx2.par.as8218.eu (64.125.30.183) 150 msec  151 msec  151 msec  11 ae6.ter4.eqx2.par.core.as8218.eu (83.167.55.43) 151 msec  152 msec  152 msec  12 ae0.ter3.itx5.par.core.as8218.eu (83.167.55.10) 148 msec  148 msec  148 msec  13 witbe-gw1.ter1.itx5.par.cust.as8218.eu (158.255.117.19) 151 msec  153 msec  153 msec
 14 Gi0-3.rtr-01.PAR.witbe.net (81.88.96.250) 152 msec  *  151 msec


HE did/does that too, prefering to avoid any direct route from EU to Asia.

Well, right now, of the modern cables that had capacity and reasonable pricing, only SMW-5 remains up... and SMW-5 is just about out of capacity as well.

SMW-6 is currently under construction, so that is not yet an option (the Red Sea debacle notwithstanding).

Subsea systems that need to cross the Middle East and Egypt to connect Europe and Africa to South (East) Asia are generally problematic because of the complexities of having to deal with Egypt, and now, the Red Sea. That translates into capacity availability (or lack thereof in times like these) and cost. This creates an incentive for operators to route South (East) Asia through the U.S. to get to Europe, until the situation resolves itself, or new cables with new/cheaper capacity pop up.

Mark.

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