On Tue, Mar 23, 2010 at 10:27 AM, Owen DeLong <[email protected]> wrote:
> I think that the additive nature of the IPv6/IPv4 routing tables will be the > driving factor for deprecation of IPv4 pretty quickly once IPv6 starts to > reach critical mass. The problem is that we are so early on the IPv6 > adoption curve right now that nobody believes IPv6 will become > ubiquitous fast enough to be relevant. it seems to me that we'll have widespread ipv4 for +10 years at least, potentially there will be enough ipv4 alive in 20 years to still consider it 'widespread'. I also think we'll see more v4 routes (longer prefixes) show up in the first 10yrs, before it gets better :( I could be wrong, I hope I am, but... > I think that IPv6 deployment is already showing signs of acceleration. > I think that it will lurch forward suddenly shortly after (~6-12 months) > IPv4 finally hits the runout wall in a couple of years. I agree that v6 deployments seem to be getting better/faster/stronger... I think that's good news, but we'll still be paying the v4 piper for a while. -Chris > Owen > > >
