-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- Hash: SHA256 Apologies for replying to my own post, but... below:
On 8/13/2014 7:05 AM, Paul Ferguson wrote: > On 8/13/2014 6:52 AM, Warren Kumari wrote: > >> Am I overly cynical, or does this all work out perfectly for >> some vendors? I'm guessing that a certain vendor is going to see >> a huge number of orders for new equipment, for an event that >> could have been (and was) easily predicted... "Here, buy my >> widget... and then you'll come back in a few years and buy >> another one.. <mwahahahah>". Yup, folk purchasing these *should* >> have known (not like there was no discussions of this), but, >> well, not everyone spends all day reading NANOG / RIPE / CIDR >> report... > > I am not an operator, but I used to be a *really* active routing > engineer once upon a time in the stone age :-) and what really > bothers me is the serious lack of general awareness on the issue of > routing table size, aggregation, and stability, and what effect it > has on the global Internet. > > Especially questions like this: > > "Is it time to switch to all IPv6 yet?" > > http://tech-beta.slashdot.org/story/14/08/13/0048244/the-ipv4-internet-hiccups > > If anyone *seriously* believes that IPv6 will have any positive > effect on this particular issue, you are sorely misinformed. If > anything, it will make the problem worse, since the ability to "get > aggregation wrong" will be much easier. > > I'm not being cynical, I'm being a realist. :-/ > > - ferg > > > p.s. I recall some IPv6 prefix growth routing projections by Vince > Fuller and Tony Li from several years ago which illustrated this, > but cannot find a reference at the moment.... > > I found it: "Scaling issues with ipv6 routing+multihoming" Vince Fuller, Cisco Systems http://iab.org/wp-content/IAB-uploads/2011/03/vaf-iab-raws.pdf I think the slides [above] were done for an IAB routing workshop in ~2006. Also: "Scaling of Internet Routing and Addressing: past view, present reality,and possible futures" Vince Fuller, Cisco Systems http://www.vaf.net/~vaf/apricotworkshop.pdf FYI, - - ferg - -- Paul Ferguson VP Threat Intelligence, IID PGP Public Key ID: 0x54DC85B2 Key fingerprint: 19EC 2945 FEE8 D6C8 58A1 CE53 2896 AC75 54DC 85B2 -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: GnuPG v2.0.22 (MingW32) iF4EAREIAAYFAlPrinQACgkQKJasdVTchbLU/QD+LB1B4YoSjmVuipl5c5WskbWU CpGkLaxEgOsf7kxssOIA+gPWSlSDMG+86RDREGecy8/WGftSON0EHHi9pBxMDl/P =9XW4 -----END PGP SIGNATURE-----