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http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-korb3may03,1,436129.st
ory

COMMENTARY
11-Step Program for Iraq Failure

* The Bush team is repeating the mistakes the U.S. made in Vietnam.

By Lawrence J. Korb

Lawrence J. Korb is a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress in
Washington and senior advisor to the Center for Defense Information.

In his press conference on April 13, President Bush argued that comparing
the quagmire in Iraq with Vietnam would only be a disservice to our troops.

However, if one reviews the list of mistakes that former Secretary of
Defense Robert S. McNamara claims we made in prosecuting the war in
Vietnam, it is clear that Bush, his advisors and the American people can
learn a great deal about how we got ourselves into the current situation in
Iraq and how we can get out of it.

In his book "Retrospect," McNamara argues that he and his colleagues in the
Kennedy and Johnson administrations made 11 mistakes in their handling of
Vietnam.

The first, and presumably the most egregious, was to exaggerate the dangers
our adversaries posed to us, something the Bush administration did in Iraq
by exaggerating intelligence about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and
its ties to Al Qaeda.

Bush's comments about how we are fighting the enemy in Baghdad so we will
not have to fight it in Boston (or Brooklyn) are eerily reminiscent of
President Johnson's comments about how we were fighting communists in
Saigon so we would not have to fight them in San Francisco.

McNamara's next four mistakes concern our misjudgments about the political
forces, nationalism and the history and culture of Vietnam as well as our
ability to shape every nation in our own image.

It is now clear that our lack of knowledge about Iraq, coupled with the
belief that America could shape Iraq in its own image, led the Bush
administration to assume that we would be greeted as liberators, and that
the Sunnis, the Shiites and the Kurds would agree to set up a federal
republic modeled after our own.

Another three of McNamara's criteria focus on the use of military power. He
warns that high-technology military equipment is insufficient to win the
hearts and minds of people from a totally different culture.

He also says Congress and the American people should be drawn into a full,
frank debate on the pros and cons of large-scale military involvement, and
that military action should be carried out only in conjunction with the
real support of the international community.

Casting these lessons aside, the Bush administration failed to heed the
advice of military professionals that our overwhelming conventional
military power would not be enough to translate a military victory into a
stable peace without the deployment of a large number of ground troops for
a long time.

The administration failed to let Congress and the American people have a
full, frank debate about the reasons for going to war or how long it would
take or how much it would cost. Finally, though 30 nations lent their
political support to the cause, the only significant practical support has
come from the British; more than 90% of the casualties and the cost has
been and will be continued to be borne by the United States.

Two of McNamara's mistakes concern the failure to explain to Americans when
and why unanticipated events forced us off course and to make it clear to
the people that in international affairs we may have to live in an
imperfect, untidy world.

The Bush administration has still not explained why it was mistaken about
the primary reasons for going to war. Even in the face of recent setbacks,
it has yet to acknowledge that creating a stable Iraq will be a long,
difficult and costly endeavor and cannot be accomplished by an artificial
deadline like June 30. The president has not recognized that we may have to
live with an Iraq that is not a Jeffersonian democracy.

The final mistake that we made in Vietnam was to not organize the executive
branch to deal with the complex range of political and military issues that
situation presented. If anything, the organizational failures are worse in
Iraq. The State Department began planning for the Iraqi reconstruction
about 18 months before the invasion, but when the Pentagon was unexpectedly
given responsibility for reconstruction, its first viceroy, Lt. Gen. Jay
Garner, was not even allowed to consult with the State Department.
Moreover, the invading troops were not given any guidance about what to do
when the regime fell and even a year after the fall of Baghdad it remains
unclear who is in charge of reconstruction and stabilization.

Not learning from our mistakes in Vietnam would be the real disservice to
our troops and the country. In fact, learning from those mistakes might be
the best, if not the only, way to understand how we got into the current
mess in Iraq and how we might get out of it.

 

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