Pipeline debate should be centered on what to do when, not if, oil spill happens
By JOSEPH ARVAI<http://www.hilltimes.com/author/Joseph%20Arvai> |
Published: Monday, 08/26/2013 12:00 am EDT
Last Updated: Monday, 08/26/2013 12:04 am EDT

 
http://www.hilltimes.com/opinion-piece/politics/2013/08/26/pipeline-debate-should-be-centered-on-what-to-do-when-not-if-oil-spill/35704

A key dimension of the current debate surrounding the proposed Northern Gateway 
pipeline focuses on environmental health and safety. Pipeline opponents argue 
that the risks of an oil spill, and the associated environmental consequences 
are too high, and provide sufficient cause for abandoning the project.  
Meanwhile, proponents-including Calgary's Enbridge, Inc.-point to promises 
about state-of-the-art monitoring and response systems that will greatly reduce 
the risk of an oil spill. The debate around the environmental risks associated 
with TransCanada Pipelines' proposed Keystone XL project from Canada to the 
United States is remarkably similar.

There's no reason to think that either Enbridge or TransCanada is interested in 
explicitly neglecting their responsibilities toward the environment. Both 
companies have commitments to their clients, and to their shareholders, and 
future accidents would cost them both dearly.  And both companies would be 
under close regulatory scrutiny regarding the operation of their respective 
projects. However, this doesn't mean that both companies aren't engaging in 
wishful thinking about the environmental risks associated with their proposed 
pipelines.

Consider the following: On July 6, in Lac-Mégantic, Que., an unattended train 
carrying crude oil ran away, derailed, and exploded, killing 47 people and 
causing millions of dollars in damage. Later that same day, Asiana Airlines 
Flight 214 crashed on final approach at the San Francisco International 
Airport, killing three and critically injuring 12 others. Eighteen days later, 
a high-speed train derailed near Santiago de Compostela in Spain killing 79 
people and injuring more than approximately 140 others.

Though the investigations into these three accidents is ongoing, preliminary 
reports suggest that human error, and some would say carelessness, was the 
primary cause in each case.  The same conclusions about human error have been 
drawn in a number of other recent high-profile accidents, ranging from the 
grounding and partial sinking of the MS Costa Concordia cruise ship off the 
west coast of Italy in 2012, with 30 people confirmed dead, and the loss of the 
Space Shuttle Columbia in 2003, resulting in the deaths of its seven member 
crew.

What's interesting, and particularly tragic, about these accidents is that they 
all occurred in highly regulated and tightly monitored industries where 
promises-and indeed, track records-around safety are critically important 
indicators of performance: air travel, shipping, rail transport, and space 
exploration. It would be incorrect, not to mention irresponsible, to suggest 
that any of the companies involved-and NASA in the case of the Space Shuttle 
Columbia-wanted or deserved these accidents. It would be equally incorrect and 
irresponsible to suggest that either Enbridge or TransCanada want, or should 
deserve, accidents involving their proposed pipelines.

But, the fact is, these accidents happened, and the question is why?

One of the more elegant explanations comes from the sociologist Diane Vaughan.  
When studying the loss of another Space Shuttle, the Challenger in 1986, she 
found that NASA engineers and decision makers had become so accustomed to 
undertaking aberrant behaviors-cutting corners-that these behaviours became 
part of the agency's standard operating procedure; this in spite of the fact 
these behaviours were well outside NASA's own rules about safety. Vaughan 
termed this phenomenon the "normalization of deviance."  She suggested, in a 
nutshell, that aberrant behaviours are allowed to become normalized by 
actors-and within institutions-because, most of the time, nothing bad happens 
as a result of them. That is, until something bad happens.

In science, a phenomenon is termed "robust" when it happens with regularity, 
and this is the case with the normalization of deviance. It happens almost 
everywhere. Employees steal a little from their employers, until they get 
caught. Students cheat a little on assignments and exams, until their 
indiscretions are discovered. And people in companies routinely cut corners on 
safety, until accidents happen. Indeed, the normalization of deviance has 
already worked its way into the business of oil pipelines.

Three years ago, on July 25, 2010, a segment of an Enbridge pipeline ruptured 
near Marshall, Mich., spilling more than 3.3 million litres of heavy oil from 
Alberta into the Kalamazoo River. I lived and worked near Marshall at the time, 
and calling the spill a major environmental and social catastrophe would be a 
serious understatement. And, the consequences of the spill linger to this day.

Even though alarms sounded in Enbridge's Edmonton control room at the time of 
the spill, it was 18 hours before the company halted the flow of oil, 
preventing more of it from spilling. In fact, at the time the alarms sounded, 
Enbridge employees attributed the alarms to an air bubble-not an uncommon 
occurrence-and actually increased pressure in the line in an attempt to clear 
the "blockage." Not taking the spill alarms seriously because they were 
attributed to a non-serious, business-as-usual event constitutes a 
normalization of deviance.

So as we debate the pros and cons of these future pipelines, whether there will 
be an oil spill as a result of human error should not be viewed as an open 
question as both opponents and proponents might suggest. That there will be a 
spill from any one of these new pipelines being discussed is a near certainty. 
The only open questions are, when and where will the spills happen, how big 
will they be, and what-if anything-can be done to stop or rectify them?

Time will tell.

Joseph Arvai is the Svare chair in applied decision research in the department 
of geography and the institute for sustainable energy, environment, and economy 
at the University of Calgary. He is also a senior researcher with Decision 
Research in Eugene, Ore.

[email protected]

The Hill Times



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