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ARTICLES
The Politics of Investing
Economics: China and Commodities
Markets: Has the stock market peaked?
Economics: China: Hype or Happening
Economics: The Demographics of Change
Markets : Are We Running Out of Oil?
Economics : Is There a Housing Bubble?
Markets : Will Consumers Sink the Market?
NEWSLETTER
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IS THE MARKET DUE FOR A REBOUND? HOW TO PLAY IT
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The World Is Running Out of Cheap Oil - What To Do Now!
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Gold - The Shine is Back!
Lately, gold has been on a tear. The former currency and
precious metal has zoomed in the past few weeks and now trades at
$447.10/ounce. In May of this year, gold was trading for just under
$380/ounce (representing a 17.6% price increase in the past six months). The
reason? The poor performance of the U.S. dollar.
No other factor is as significant for strong gold prices as the
devaluation of the U.S. dollar. On a trade weighted basis, the U.S. dollar
has dropped some 4.8% since May and 3% since the end of June. But just why
is the dollar under pressure? Because of the massive IOU's that the U.S.
government has racked up in both the government deficit and the current
account deficit (exports minus imports) that at its present level of 6% of
GDP is unprecedented. The problem? As a nation, we are spending more than we
are making, with foreigners bridging the gap and extending us the credit to
keep on spending. Not only are we spending like fools, but our savings rate
has plummeted to 0.2% of disposable income � down from 7.7% in 1992. As
Morgan Stanley's chief economist Stephen Roach writes: �The day will come
when foreign investors simply say �no' to this arrangement � refusing to
fund America's consumption binge without getting a meaningful concession on
the terms of the financing. That's when the dollar collapses, U.S. interest
rates soar, and the stock market plunges.�
Read the Complete Article
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ROM Personal Finance
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Report on Money is a division of The McConnell Group
an investment research and mangement consulting firm which publishes
research reports and commentary from time to time on securities and trends
in the marketplace. The opinions and information contained herein are based
upon sources which we believe to be reliable, but The McConnell Group makes
no representation as to their timeliness, accuracy or completeness. Mr.
Stephenson writes a regular commentary on the markets and individual
securities and the opinions expressed in this commentary are his own. This
report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any
security. Nothing in this article constitutes individual investment, legal
or tax advice. Investments involve risk and an investor may incur profits
and losses. We, our affiliates, and any officer, director or stockholder or
any member of their families may have a position in and may from time to
time purchase or sell any securities discussed in our articles. At the time
of writing this article, Mr. Stephenson did not maintain an investment
position in any of the securities mentioned in this article.
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