Wunderdog Sports Picks Newsletter
2004 College Football - Bowls Part 3 of 4
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Nelayan,

Happy New Year to you and your families!

Bowling to a 12-4 ATS record so far & Reduced Packages (see below)                   
So far we are hitting 75% ATS on the bowl selections and 0-1 on the money-line. You can view my prior picks here.

This newsletter contains the complimentary pick in the Music City Bowl between Alabama and Minnesota. My premium newsletter for this week covers the other nine bowl games between the December 31st and New Years Day:

  Sun - Arizona State vs. Purdue (12/31)
  Liberty - Boise State vs. Louisville (12/31)
  Peach - Florida vs. Miami (12/31)
  Cotton - Texas A&M vs. Tennessee (1/1)
  Outback - Georgia vs. Wisconsin (1/1)
  Gator - Florida State vs. West Virginia (1/1)
  Capitol One - Iowa vs. LSU (1/1)
  Rose - Michigan vs. Texas (1/1)
  Fiesta - Pittsburgh vs. Utah (1/1)

Wunderdog Premium Bowl Packages - Reduced Again!
You can get all of the games listed above for $39 or the remainder of my 2004 Premium Bowls Package for $49 which will also include the Sugar and Orange Bowls. Or better yet, order the remainder of the NFL season (5 more weeks including playoffs and Super Bowl) and all the College Bowls for just $149 in all.

 Order Premium Picks

Good luck this weekend, Nelayan!

The Wunderdog

Complimentary Picks

**Alabama -1.5 vs. Minnesota (Check latest line)
*Minnesota/Alabama UNDER 48

Bama comes into this one with the best defense in the country and thrives on stuffing opposing offenses. They stymied Auburn for long stretches in the rivalry game in November and should be able to put a clamp on the vaunted UM tailback duo. Not good for Minnesota given their inability to move the ball through the air. Minnesota owns the 112th-ranked passing defense while Alabama led the nation in this category, giving up just 116.5 yards per game through the air. Minnesota is 6-1 UNDER in road games when they gain 150 or less net passing yards since 1992 while Alabama is 14-4 UNDER when their defense allows 100 to 150 net passing yards over the same span. The Tide offense is pretty bad, too which makes the under a nice play here. This one has all the makings of a defensive struggle. Games in which the total is between 42.5 and 49 feature a team off a game in which they gained 2 or less rushing yards/attempt (Bama) have gone under 70 out of 108 times over the last 5 Seasons. The Gophers are 1-7 ATS versus good defensive teams (allowing <4.5 yards/play) and 1-7 vs. teams that give up under 17 points per game over the last 3 seasons. They are also just 2-10 ATS vs. winning teams. The Alabama faithful are travelling down to Nashville in droves for this one. Two star pick on the defensive power that is the Tide and one star on the under here as well. (Bet game @ BoDog | Bet game @ BetOnline)

See Star-Ratings section below for recommendations on betting amounts.
Premium Picks

College Football Premium Picks
My premium picks packages include my best picks and detailed analysis on every selected game. Choose from:

  This week's top selections: $39
  Remaining Bowl Games: $49
  Combination packages with NFL also available

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GuaranteedPicks

Where to Bet

BoDog Sportsbook
America's Sportsbook

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Resources

College Football Resources

  Up-to-Date NCAA Football ATS Records
  College Football Game-of-the-Week Preview
  Live College Football Football Lines
  Latest College Football News

If you'd prefer to get picks from a phone service, 5 Star Sport Selections (www.5star-sports.com) is a reputable one. Visit them at or call their live lock line at 561-744-7794.

About the Dog

About This Newsletter

Complimentary Picks Every Week

This newlsetter is for designed to help sports bettors improve their winning percentage. Each newsletter contains handicapping information, analysis, trends and a complimentary pick. I prominently post all of my picks with results so you can track how I perform. Previous Picks.

About The Wunderdog


Sports Picks and Handicapping Info

Based on over 15 years of research and practice, I have developed a consistent successful method for picking NFL & College Football, NBA & NCAA Basketball and Major League Baseball games. My approach is to make educated decisions based on data, not gut feel. View more info about The Dog.

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Betting Recommendations and Unit Tracking
My star ratings equate to the following betting recommendations for each pick. For tracking purposes on my site, my bankroll is assumed to be an even $5000.

  * (1 star) = 1% of bankroll (or $50)
  ** (2 star) = 2% of bankroll (or $100)
  *** (3 star) = 3% of bankroll (or $150)
  **** (4 star) = 4% of bankroll (or $200)
  ***** (5 star) = 5% of bankroll (or $250)
  ****** (6 star) = 6% of bankroll (or $300)

To determine your bet amount, you should simply use the percentages below, multiplied by your specific bankroll. It is my strong recommendation that you never bet more than 10% of your bankroll on any given game - ever! You should usually bet just a few percent. There are no such thing as locks. See my write-up on Bankroll Management.
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Good Luck.

 

The Wunderdog

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