Maybe this is interesting in that context:

Social Unrest: Millennial Uprising Scenario 2015 by Cambridge Centre for Risk 



Also a few days ago there was the Recorded Future User Network
Conference, perhaps Dan Geer can chip in on the latest.

>From the department nothing new under the sun:

This was from 2012

back then recordedfuture had interesting webinars on monitoring protest 
and social unrest, here claiming 85% accuracy for their prediction 2012

Monitoring Protests and Unrest - Recorded Future Webcast 2012

Monitoring Social Media Authors 2014

also interesting Quid


and the above mentioned Cytora - Real-Time Political Risk Analysis

Future research projects

And then there is always enterprise solution Palantir.

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