Hi Felix,

On Sat, Sep 16, 2017 at 3:48 AM, Felix Stalder <fe...@openflows.com> wrote:

>
> On 2017-09-15 07:30, Morlock Elloi wrote:
>
> > While one (usually a Marxist) can argue that nothing ever changes, I
> > think that the exponential rise of the complexity of everyday
> > technology creates a qualitatively new environment, where smaller and
> > smaller number of specialists really understand (and therefore have
> > power over) everyday "objects".
>
> I think this is the key point here. We are in the midst of an explosion
> of complexity that overwhelms our (Western) social, political and, I
> would argue, cognitive and psychological structures.
>

Once again you have contributed a lucid and humane account of the global
crisis from inside a bubble where the main voices are disillusioned western
techies whose moment in the sun was the 90s. As always you acknowledge the
limitations of your perspective, but don't try to stand outside it.

The relationship between technology and society is very different in Asia,
Latin America and Latin America, as are perspectives on environment,
inequality, development, historical trajectories and the priorities for our
world. This was reflected in the 2009 Copenhagen summit on climate change,
where the West, without making significant sacrifices of their own,
proposed that the rest should accept lower levels of carbon emissions than
themselves. Both the Brazilian and Chinese presidents made the same joke:
that Obama was like a rich man who dines alone sumptuously, invites the
neighbours in for coffee and then asks them to split the bill.

The BRICS leaders said that their first priority was development, so that
their peoples could hope to overcome poverty and inequality inherited from
a world society made by and for western empires. A subsequent
disinformation campaign, partly coming out of Germany, alleged that it was
the BRICS who wrecked the summit.

Ours is a multi-polar world, not the uni-polar version of 1900, when
Europeans accounted for over a third of humanity and controlled 80% of the
land. Current forecasts for 2100 have Asia and Africa with two-fifths each
of the world's population, Europe with 6%. Economic growth has always
accompanied population growth. The only population now growing is African;
all the rest are ageing and in decline. Having ridden a machine revolution
and demographic boom to take over the world, the whites are now desperate
to conserve what they can at the expense of the others whom they despise
and exclude.

I am spending this week in Mexico for a UNESCO conference. For half a
century I have been inspired and informed by the intellectual products of
Latin America's unique historical trajectory and it is still so. The US's
culture wars are now being fought on Facebook in Brazil. The democratic
experiments, after dictatorship and the lost decade of the 80s debt crisis,
achieved great reductions of poverty and began to dismantle racist barriers
in some places, but redistribution was financed by high commodity prices
and everywhere now democracy is seen to be precarious. But Latin Americans
have addressed society at every level from the local to the global through
innovative political experiments such as the alter-globalization movement
launched by the World Social Forum in 2001.

The main threat posed by the rest to the West is the rise of Asian
countries as capitalist powers and in particular that of India and China
who between them house a third of the world's people. No point in
rehearsing this story here. But all major human problems, including those
posed by environment and technology require political, legal  and
 administrative solutions; and we don' t yet have the social forms that are
up to the task. You ignore the part played by lawless financial imperialism
in our current plight, the destruction of national government, law and
citizenship by neoliberal globalization, with only corporate
self-aggrandizement as an alternative. How will the American Empire, which
created and owns the digital economy, handle competition with Asia? A major
war would destroy most of your assumptions about resource scarcity, if not
life on earth itself.

Africans, with the partial exception of white Southern Africans, missed out
on every phase of the machine revolution until now. But they lead
innovation in linking money to mobile phone technology. Sub-Saharan Africa
has half the mobile money services in the world. The number of agents there
has grown from 100,000 to 1.5 million in five years and they absorb half of
the revenues. Mobile money services have overtaken bank accounts. East
Africa was the cradle of the movement, but West Africa is catching up fast,
growing from 8% to 29% coverage in five years. Overall some 40% of Africans
participate in mobile money. The leading countries are Gabon, Ghana, Kenya,
Namibia, Tanzania, Uganda and Zimbabwe.

Apart from M-Pesa, Kenya also leads the world in recycling old computers
for cheap purchase and use by poor people. In the US consumers fret over
what their fourth or fifth smart device should be. Redistribution alone
will not lift most Africans out of poverty. To tell them that growth is
over is cruel, evidence of a supreme indifference that is of course the
hallmark of Western societies. Africans know that development must be
sustainable. Their poverty tells them that. They drown in the Mediterranean
rather than accept the impasse they face at home. But they are the most
hopeful region in the world and they have good reason to be.

Keith

-- 

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Keith Hart
keith-hart.com
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