Felix Stalder wrote about David Harvey's idea of separate but interrelated
"activity spheres":

"One cannot understand the shape and dynamics of the state without its
relation to capital and vice-versa, or, increasingly, without eco-system
pressures. While these domains are related, they also follow their own
dynamics, but in that movement, they transform the others as well, or are
held back by them. [...] The task, it seems, is to bring these bits and
pieces, the cultural, the technocratic and segments of the economy, in such
a relationship they can pull the rest into a different direction, and
phasing out those sectors, particularly of the economy, that cannot or do
not want to adapt."

Felix, I agree that David Harvey's idea of distinct but interacting
'activity spheres' is the best way to track and understand change in
capitalist democracies. I haven't listened to the recent lecture, but
Harvey developed the idea at least a decade ago, in both The Enigma of
Capital (the chapter "Capital Evolves") and A Companion to Marx's Capital
(the chapter "What Technology Reveals"). I often used the image of
coevolving spheres to introduce the Three Crises seminars, because it's
close to the cybernetic concept of circular causality within complex
adaptive systems. Harvey writes that "Uneven development between and among
the elements produces contingency in human evolution (in much the same way
that unpredictable mutations produce contingency in Darwinian theory)." And
he adds: "The danger for social theory is to see one of the elements as
determinant of all the others."

Of course when you get close to it there are difficulties. First, how do
you define the broad categories, and how do you sift through actual
phenomena to fill each category with relevant content (i.e. particular
technologies, production processes, organizational forms, regulatory
systems, consumption norms, political ideologies, cultural trends, etc.)?
And then how do you then interrelate these actual phenomena, in order to
track and predict changes in the entire system? Sociologists typically do
it by setting up tables where specific and seemingly disparate contents are
presented as the elements of a system, which in time gives way to another
system, with a different arrangement of contents, after some kind of break
or crisis (cf Freeman and Louca's table from The Economics of Industrial
Innovation, excerpt here:
https://brianholmes.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/1st_session.pdf, p. 8). The
approach is a bit clunky, but I learned a lot from it. Since the 1990s,
computers have opened up the possibility for agent-based modeling of change
in social-ecological systems (https://sci-hub.se/10.1002/wcc.647). In these
models, the production processes of certain environmental phenomena, like
CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, are categorized and quantified as
rigorously as possible; and then, specific policy choices or cultural
trends affecting one or more human populations are fed into the system, to
see how the environmental outputs change. It's extremely interesting and
rhetorically effective too, as recent IPCC reports have shown. However I
have not yet seen an agent-based model that can represent the dynamics of
what Felix calls a "total social crisis." Something like Adam Tooze's
seriously wonky Chartbook, dedicated to analyzing specific elements of what
he calls "the polycrisis," is still a better way to grasp technopolitical
dynamics (https://adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-165-polycrisis-thinking
).

The lack of an intuitive representation is the biggest problem. Can the
citizens of capitalist democracies even see what's going on? Biden
inaugurated the current administration by talking about "cascading crises,"
and has gone on to perform a number of coordinated interventions on system
dynamics, all of which constitute an attempt to deliberately set up the
next technopolitical paradigm. One of these is to spur the electrification
of transportation by means of research funding (especially batteries), the
construction of supporting infrastructure (transmission lines, charging
stations) and tax incentives for both producers and consumers. These
production policies are correlated with ideological and cultural outreach
to minority groups, elements of the white working classes and highly
educated progressives, all of which have to be added to the urban middle
class vote in order to retain political power. Finally, in an attempt to
reshape the international environment, the administration has pursued the
economic decoupling from China that was started by Trump, and it has used
the Ukraine war to rebuild the Nato alliance system in view, not only of
the current proxy war with Russia, but also as a way to push back against
Chinese expansionism. If we could see all this as a comprehensive policy in
the face of a total social-ecological crisis, then it would be possible to
ask questions and demand reorientations - that is, actually engage in the
political process. Otherwise the primary motivating force for system change
will remain war, as it was for the emergence of Keynesian Fordism, and
again for Neoliberalism (which only consolidated internationally in the
wake of the Gulf War). Indeed, in the history of capitalist democracy so
far, major changes still seem to pivot on war.

It's clear to me that the only viable option is to turn climate threats
into a motivating force outside of war. Right now the major powers - US, EU
and China - are engaged in a kind of mixed condition, between war
capitalism and response to climate change. I'm not sure whether a Ukrainian
victory will damp down or ramp up the war component. But I do think, even
today, that war is far from the single determinant of what's going on, even
in the technocratic EU. It is, however, the best existing way to place
complex processes of change under the tight control of political authority:
a situation that could easily become disastrous.

The Technopolitics group in Vienna developed a timeline of change in the
information society that was able to spark a lot of discussions (
https://www.technopolitics.info/). I wasn't around for any of those and I
wonder whether anything like the Timeline project is continuing today. From
a distance what it seemed to leave out was exactly the role of major
crises, and the interventions that somehow temporarily resolve those crises
- but maybe that came out very strongly in the discussions, I don't know. A
visualization can produce a purely contemplative sense of understanding and
intellectual mastery, but it can also help an individual, a group or a
social movement to situate their own small actions at strategic places
within a wider tableau. I'm curious if anyone has encountered convincing
and actionable visualizations of the present crisis.

best, Brian



On Mon, Nov 7, 2022 at 1:02 PM Felix Stalder <fe...@openflows.com> wrote:

>
>
> On 27.10.22 20:50, Brian Holmes wrote:
> > Indeed. The point is now to think those politics, and make their
> > possibilities recognizable.
>
> I think it's pretty obvious that we are living in a period that is
> characterized by what one could call, with a nod to Durkheim, "total
> social crises". Meaning, they are not longer restricted to a single
> sphere -- so neatly separated in the modern liberal thinking -- but play
> out across the full-range of social domains. Thus any analysis needs to
> able to understand their interplay.
>
> But what are these domains?  David Harvey's recent talk on "Marx’s
> Historical Materialism"
>
>
> http://davidharvey.org/2022/01/new-podcast-david-harveys-anti-capitalist-chronicles
>
> summarizes that very clearly, differentiating among seven sets of
> relations (though there is more than one way to slice the pie):
>
> - technology
> - nature
> - relations of (re)production (waged and unwaged labor)
> - mental conceptions
> - relations of everyday life
> - political (class) relations
> - and systems of governance.
>
> All these sets have what Marx calls a "metabolic relation" to each
> other, meaning they are dependent on one another and their concrete form
> can only be understood to through their interdependence. One cannot
> understand the shape and dynamics of the state without its relation to
> capital and vice-versa, or, increasingly, without eco-system pressures.
>
> While these domains are related, they also follow their own dynamics,
> but in that movement, they transform the others as well, or are held
> back by them. Geo-egineering, for example, is a technological response
> to eco-system pressures in order to preserve relations of productions
> and class relations. Black Lives Matter aims to transform mental
> conceptions in order to dismantal racist/colonialist systems of governance.
>
> Take, for example, the pandemic. It's zoonotic origin indicates a deep
> problem with our relations to nature. In response, massive technological
> development (mRNA vaccines, deepening of digitization etc) was
> coordinated by the government. At the same time, changes in everyday
> life (lockdown, masking, 'distancing', etc) were introduced, and mental
> conceptions started to shift. Of course, a massive economic crisis could
> only be averted by government intervention and the boundaries between
> productive and reproductive labor shifted.
>
> While you could say the feedback loop built into the "metabolic
> relations to nature" triggered the pandemic, it's actual dynamics can
> only be understood by taking into account the dynamic relations between
> the different domains. The relation between the state and capital was
> evident both in the state's willingness to finance the vaccines, and in
> it's commitment to enforce patent monopolies. The importance of mental
> conceptions became evident in the public reactions to the vaccines. The
> point is, one cannot reduce on sphere to the other. There is no
> structure - superstructure relationship.
>
> Neoliberalism (or liberalism more generally) is ideologically unable to
> address such total phenomena, because of its constitutive commitment to
> separating the domains.
>
> In the 20th century, in the West, there have been, as far as I can see,
> three ways of reacting to such 'total crises'. Fascism, Keynesian and
> 'war efforts'.
>
> At the moment, all three approaches to 'total politics' are bein persued
> at the same time. The fascist writing is on the wall, it's, at the core,
> an us-vs-them zero sum game. "We" prosper because "they" suffer. The
> green new deal is a modernized form of Keynesianism, but more holistic
> (or 'total') by focussing on the interrelation between all the domains.
> What Europe is trying to do is a kind of 'war economy', in relation to
> the actual war but also as a way to speed up the energy transition.
> While I agree with the direction, I doubt that a technocratic approach
> can work, not the least because it cannot shape many of the domains that
> are actively involved shaping the problem. If people freaked out because
> of a vaccine that was perceived being forced top-down, just wait for the
> energy restrictions imposed.
>
> But then again, the transformation of the mental conceptions, the
> understanding of a transformed relationship to nature, are also quite
> far developed.
>
> The task, it seems, is to bring these bit and pieces, the cultural, the
> technocratic and segments of the economy, in such a relationship they
> can pull the rest into a different direction, and phasing out these
> sectors, particularly of the economy, that cannot or do not want to adapt.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> --
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