Oggetto: Opposition to U.S. Base in Eastern Europe Rises

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 Opposition to U.S. Base Rises
Zoltán Dujisin

BUDAPEST, Feb 19 (IPS) - The arguments put forward by the United States
to justify its project for a missile defence base in Eastern Europe are
becoming less and less convincing to public opinion and experts of the
countries involved.

The United States intends to set up an anti-missile base in Poland and a
radar control center in the Czech Republic as part of its National
Missile Defence (NMD) programme by 2011. The plan is supported by both
the Polish and Czech governments.

Germany, Britain and Canada have rejected hosting elements of the U.S.
system.

Polls suggest the majority of Czechs and Poles are opposed to the base
out of fear of turning their countries into supporters of Washington's
controversial Middle East policy and into targets of terrorism.

Those in favour expect economic benefits and argue the base will increase
the countries' security and prestige while reinforcing their alliance
with the United States.

The justification advanced by Washington for the base is that it will
protect the Western world from missile attacks originating in such
"rough states" as North Korea or Iran.

The Polish government is reportedly putting forth a set of demands,
including participation in development, military aid, and an upgrading
of the United States's visa policy towards its citizens.

The Czechs have been accused of political naivety for simply counting on
economic and political benefits, though Prague hopes to obtain similar
benefits in visa policy.

The Czech right-wing government will face additional problems in
parliament in approving the radar construction, as most parties are
either pressing for a referendum or complain the system will be built
outside the framework of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO)
to which they belong.

Most NATO members are sceptical of the cost, effectiveness and necessity
of the U.S. base.

Military experts have argued that the "rough states" have neither the
intention nor the technology to attack the United States or its allies,
adding that any missiles would be better intercepted from Turkey,
another NATO member.

Security analysts have also signaled the base could be part of U.S.
efforts to face future threats from Russia and China, but note Moscow
has already developed technology capable of bypassing the costly defence
shield project.

In agreement with views held by pro-disarmament groups, some experts
likewise argue the system will encourage the development of offensive
systems intent on re-establishing the world's strategic balance.

During a recent security conference in Munich, Russian President Vladimir
Putin cautioned the shield would fuel a new arms race, and vowed
Moscow's response would be "effective and asymmetric, to the highest
degree."

Moscow is also irritated by the radar's ability to monitor military
movements well inside Russian territory, but right-wing politicians in
the region are dismissing Russian statements as part of Putin's
domestic policy.

The Czech government is also planning an information campaign on the base.

Jan Tamas, head of the 'No to the Bases' initiative, an umbrella group
of international civic organisations against the base, told IPS that
information available in much of the press is biased in favour of
construction of the military complex.

"They talk about the so-called threats to support their case, without
mentioning the real threats that will emerge as a result of the
establishment of the base," he told IPS. "We notice a clear interest
to distort reality, regardless of the consequences and regardless of the
opinion of the people."

In the Czech Republic the pro-base side has frequently accused opponents
of the base of "Anti-Americanism", a claim demystified in surveys
carried out by some newspapers and institutions.

Instead of suffering from a hatred of everything "American", Jan
Cervenka, from the Public Opinion Research Centre, said in an interview
that Czechs are divided over Washington's foreign policy "across
political affiliations."

Some academics in the region will rather see the ideological bias on the
pro-U.S. side. "Czechs are frustrated with being categorised as part of
Eastern Europe, and elites adopted pro-U.S. ideologies as a way of
proving their belonging to the West," a political scientist from
Central European University told IPS on condition of anonymity.

"Since the fall of communism, Czech right-wing nationalism has been
intrinsically linked to neo-liberal ideology, which is often more
pro-U.S. than in the U.S. itself," the professor said.

In Poland, the press has published a number of reports in which it is
argued U.S.-based pro-armament lobbying groups are actively working on
generating a climate in favour of the base.

These claims were backed by Prof. Roman Kuzniar, until recently president
of the state- supported Polish Institute for International Affairs.
Kuzniar advised Polish Prime Minister Jaroslaw Kaczynski not to build
the base, arguing that U.S. security would be built at the expense of
Poland's.

Kuzniar, speaking to Polish press last week, claimed that "entirely
serious" media outlets on friendly terms with U.S. lobbying groups
"sometimes publish complete rubbish about what benefits we will gain
from the shield," adding that "many politicians' sympathy for it
stems from ignorance about what this system really is."

The expert claimed that "stories about attacks from rogue states can be
written off as fairy tales, because countries are not suicidal." He
added that "wars are started by hegemonic, stronger countries, not by
weak ones."

Kuzniar's "anti-American" views cost him his job. Kaczynski fired him
the day before the interview was published. Polish defence minister
Radoslaw Sikorski resigned last week over disagreements with the Prime
Minister.


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