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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A3806-2001Nov22.html
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EDITORIAL

The Kosovo Formula 
 
Friday, November 23, 2001; Page A42 


EVEN AS the Bush administration, the United Nations and a host of other
outside and inside powers struggle over the political future of
Afghanistan, the subject of the West's last military intervention,
Kosovo, has taken an extraordinary step toward stability. Last weekend
the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe successfully
staged general elections for a provincial assembly, attracting a strong
turnout not only from the majority ethnic Albanian population but from
the Serb minority. The vote was free of violence, and attempts by
militant Serbs to force a boycott failed miserably; many Serbs came out
at nightfall, under cover of darkness, to cast their ballots. The
outcome was a clear victory for political moderates
-- the leading vote getter was the party of Ibrahim Rugova, a longtime
advocate of democracy and peaceful reform. Though there are plenty of
differences between the two places, Kosovo offers Afghanistan a timely
demonstration of how the combination of international peacekeeping and
U.N.-led nation-building can get results even in a war-wrecked and
poverty-stricken country.

The Kosovo elections succeeded first and foremost because 36,000 NATO
troops, including 5,400 Americans, are still deployed there as
peacekeepers more than two years after the end of NATO's war against the
Yugoslav government of Slobodan Milosevic, and a year after Mr.
Milosevic's own downfall. The peacekeepers have not stopped all violence
between Serbs and Albanians, but they have prevented major new episodes
of conflict or ethnic cleansing, and the presence of the Americans has
helped head off an ethnic war in neighboring Macedonia. Backed by NATO's
muscle, a U.N. administration has been able to restore basic services,
begin reconstruction and organize the elections, even while postponing
the fundamental -- and still explosive
-- question of whether Kosovo will remain part of Serbia and Yugoslavia
in the long term, or become an independent state. Finally, European
governments have given all sides an incentive to cooperate by pledging
aid and holding out the prospect that Kosovo and Serbia, like other
Balkan states, someday could have the chance to join in the prosperity
of the European Union.

Kosovo still has a long way to go. In the flush of victory, Mr. Rugova
promptly called for Kosovo's independence "today or tomorrow," a demand
supported by more than 90 percent of Kosovo Albanians. But European
governments still oppose independence, as does the new democratic Serb
government in Belgrade; and forcing the issue now could seriously damage
the Albanian cause. The United States, which is still seen by Albanians
as the indispensible guarantor of their security, is rightly urging Mr.
Rugova to devote his energies to proving he can form a stable and
effective government in the coming months, one that will fight crime and
defend the rights and property of Serbs and other minorities. If he
succeeds in those practical tasks the debate on independence will be far
easier to manage in two or three years time.

That likely political timetable implies a still-longer commitment in
Kosovo for European and American troops -- despite the continuing desire
by some Bush administration officials to arrange a pullout. But the
message of the election results is that the sustained investment of
troops and treasure pays off. U.N.-led, NATO-policed nation-building in
places like Kosovo is entirely workable, but it requires lots of
military force, lots of international administration, lots of economic
aid -- and even more patience. That formula is worth remembering as the
Bush administration and its allies consider the future of Afghanistan.



C 2001 The Washington Post Company



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