http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,,1458895,00.html

Europe attacked over Balkans failure

Report calls for abolition of Ashdown role in Bosnia
and radical change of regional policy that has
'reached a dead end'

Ian Traynor in Zagreb

Thursday April 14, 2005
Guardian (London)

Ten years of international policy and peacekeeping in
former Yugoslavia have reached a dead-end in Kosovo,
Bosnia, and Serbia, with the region threatening to
turn into a "marginalised black hole", a panel of
senior politicians and experts have concluded.
Urging a radical overhaul of international and EU
policy in the Balkans, the damning indictment calls
for the abolition of Lord Ashdown's office of high
representative in Bosnia, a post with dictatorial
powers now seen to be hampering rather than helping
Bosnia's democratic development.

The report denounces the UN administration of the
southern province of Kosovo, calling for the Albanian
majority territory to be granted a form of
independence. The loose union of Serbia and Montenegro
in the common state helped into being two years ago by
EU policy-makers, is also deemed a failure and should
be scrapped, the report says.

Criticising most of the pillars of international
policy in former Yugoslavia since the end of the
Bosnia and Kosovo wars, the report calls on Brussels
to come up with a strategy to bring all the countries
into the EU within a decade.

"The international community and the EU in particular
have been engaged in the Balkans to an extent which is
unprecedented," says the report, by the International
Commission on the Balkans. "But despite the scale of
the assistance effort, the international community has
failed to offer a convincing political perspective to
the societies in the region.

"The future of Kosovo is undecided, the future of
Macedonia is uncertain, and the future of Serbia is
unclear. We run the real risk of an explosion of
Kosovo, an implosion of Serbia and new fractures in
the foundations of Bosnia and Macedonia."

The 65-page report is based on a 12-month study by the
panel of Balkan experts and politicians including six
former prime ministers headed by Giuliano Amato of
Italy.

The emphasis is on urging the EU to provide persuasive
promises of EU membership to Serbia, Montenegro,
Macedonia, Kosovo and Bosnia.

Despite ploughing billions into the region and Europe
dispatching "almost half of its deployable forces" to
the Balkans, the medium-term returns have been meagre
- "a mixture of weak states and international
protectorates", zero growth, pervasive corruption,
high unemployment, and public disaffection.

Although the report says that "a shift in
international and Brussels thinking" is needed to
break the impasse, Mr Amato sounds pessimistic that
Europe is up to the challenge. "Enlargement fatigue
hovers over the European capitals these days," he
said.

But if Brussels fails, the EU will become bogged down
as a "neo-colonial power" in Kosovo and Bosnia, the
report warns. "The real choice the EU is facing in the
Balkans is: enlargement or empire."

Lord Ashdown's absolute powers in Bosnia should be
scrapped and his role should be taken by Brussels
officials in charge of EU enlargement.

The most volatile flashpoint in the Balkans, however,
is Kosovo, the status of which remains open six years
after Nato drove Serb forces out of the province. The
UN mission "bears a substantial share of the blame for
the failure in Kosovo _ a failure which can be
explained but should not be tolerated."

The report says Kosovo should be made independent by
next year, albeit with international officials still
empowered to enforce minority and human rights. The
expected fierce Serbian resistance to such proposals
should be bought off with EU promises of membership
for Belgrade.

The report calls for an EU-Balkan summit next year
aimed at producing "road maps" for each of the
countries joining the EU.

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