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Subject: [sorabia] FYI // Europe must now stand up to Russia over Kosovo

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www.ft.com

FINANCIAL TIMES (UK)

COMMENT

Europe must now stand up to Russia over Kosovo
By Philip Stephens

Published: May 24 2007 19:48 | Last updated: May 24 2007 19:48

When I hear foreign policy realists extol the virtues of inaction I think
of 
the Balkans. As Yugoslavia began to unravel during the early 1990s, an 
over-excited European foreign minister said that posterity would recall
that 
this had been "the hour of Europe". In the event, Europe sat on its hands
as 
the region fell to carnage. History records only an eternal shame.

It took the intervention of the US - yes, those interfering, imperialist 
Americans again - to put an end to a slaughter that mocked Europe's 
self-perception even as it trampled upon its values. Let no one forget, 
peace was restored to that south-eastern corner of the continent because 
Washington agreed, albeit with some reluctance, to deploy its military
power 
to that aim.

Now Europe is to be tested again. The time has come to close one of the 
remaining Balkan chapters by putting Kosovo on the road to independence.
For 
the enterprise to succeed, Europe must show in 2007 the unity and boldness 
so conspicuous by its absence during the 1990s.

The (American-led) military intervention in 1999 to expel the marauding
army 
of Serbia's Slobodan Milosevic left Kosovo as a United Nations' 
protectorate. Eight years later the time has come to end the constitutional

limbo. The road-map has been drawn by Martti Ahtisaari, the UN special 
envoy.

After many rounds of fruitless negotiation with Belgrade, Mr Ahtisaari 
concluded this year that a negotiated solution to Kosovo's status was 
impossible. Serbians will not yet accept that Kosovo was lost to them 
forever by Milosevic's crimes.

So the UN envoy put forward a plan for gradual independence - supervised at

the outset by the European Union and safeguarded by existing Nato forces. 
Independence, incidentally, is the non-negotiable demand of the 
overwhelmingly ethnically Albanian population.

Few would say Mr Ahtisaari has produced the neatest of constitutional 
blueprints. In his anxiety to protect properly the rights and interests of 
the minority Serb population, he has alighted on a system of political and 
administrative checks and balances almost numbing in their complexity.

Nor do those who work for the international agencies that now run Kosovo 
claim that this is a place obviously ready for democratic self-government. 
For all the billions poured in as reconstruction aid, the economy is 
moribund. Unemployment runs at somewhere above 40 per cent. Corruption and 
organised crime are rife. Kosovo has neither a properly functioning 
judiciary nor police force.

There are awkwardnesses too that extend beyond Kosovo and indeed well
beyond 
the Balkans. Unlike, say, Bosnia, Croatia or Macedonia, Kosovo was never an

independent republic within the old Yugoslav federation. Instead it was a 
province of Serbia. The fear among some elsewhere is that independence
might 
thus set a dangerous precedent. Spain worries about Catalonia, Slovakia 
about its ethnic Hungarian minority, Greece about Cyprus.

In other circumstances any one of these imperfections might have been
enough 
to make the case for delaying Mr Ahtisaari's plan. The problem, as Margaret

Thatcher used to say, is that there is no alternative. Kosovars will accept

nothing less than independence. Delay makes things worse. The process of 
state-building cannot begin properly until Kosovo is assured of statehood. 
Serbia will be reconciled to its loss only when it is seen to be 
irreversible. As for precedents, the UN will simply have to make it clear 
that Kosovo is indeed the exception to the rule. What is required now is a 
new resolution to end Kosovo's protectorate status and begin the process 
that will take it to statehood.

In spite of the individual misgivings in some capitals, the Ahtisaari plan 
has thus far secured the support of all 27 EU governments. Energetic 
diplomacy by the US has secured the backing of a large majority in the UN 
security council. That leaves Russia as the only serious obstacle.

How serious, we do not know. Vladimir Putin's regime has thus far said that

a new UN resolution to implement the proposals would be unacceptable. 
Russian diplomats have talked of the dangers of setting a precedent for 
Chechnya, Russian politicians of solidarity with fellow Slavs in Serbia.

Kosovo has become entangled with Mr Putin's broader - and crassly 
misguided - effort to rebuild Russian prestige by threatening its near 
neighbours, deploying energy as a crude instrument of power and being 
generally obstructive. In the Kremlin's new mythology of victimhood, the 
Nato intervention against Mr Milosevic was one among a shoal of deliberate 
efforts by the west to humiliate Russia and its allies.

Whatever Moscow's motives, though, it will carry out the threat to veto a 
new resolution only if it calculates that, in so doing, Russia can divide 
Europe from the US and Europeans among themselves. A veto exercised against

a united international community would serve only to humiliate Moscow.

The answer then is for European governments to bury any misgivings and, to 
borrow the cliche, stand shoulder to shoulder with the US. Germans need to 
talk less about the risks of confrontation with Russia, more about bringing

to a permanent end the cycle of violence that began with Berlin's 
recognition of Croatia. Spaniards, Greeks and the rest should forget about 
precedents. The stakes are too high to be held hostage to hypotheses.

Rather, European governments, individually and collectively, should tell 
Moscow that, regardless of any Russian posturing at the UN, they intend to 
carry on with the process of moving Kosovo towards statehood. There will be

no room for temporising.

Europe's vital security interests are at stake in Kosovo. The soldiers, 
civilian administrators and aid workers threatened by a return to disorder 
and violence are overwhelmingly European. Russia has nothing at stake but 
misplaced pride.

Europe's responsibilities, of course, will begin rather than end with 
recognition of Kosovo's independence. Bringing to Kosovo, and to the rest
of 
the western Balkans, the peace and prosperity the rest of Europe takes for 
granted demands a clear glide path for EU accession. Croatia, Macedonia, 
Bosnia, Albania, Montenegro, as well as Kosovo and, yes, Serbia, should all

expect to be full EU members by the middle of the next decade.

What all this requires of European political leaders is just a small amount

of the political courage so lamentably absent during the early 1990s. So 
what is it to be? Europe's hour or, once again, Europe's shame?

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About Philip Stephens:  
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