Kosovo: Russia considering "last resort" military option 

 

ROME, 31 lug (Velino) - Russia may unleash a deployment of troops in northern 
Kosovo as a dramatic last resort to retaliate against the Contact Group backing 
independence for the ethnic-Albanian majority in the troubled Serbian province, 
some Belgrade-based diplomats and analysts say. 
“However unlikely the scenario sounds, Russian troops could conceivably land in 
Serbia, which has several military airports conveniently close to the Kosovo 
border, and move into the north of the province from there, demanding their 
chunk of responsibility in any international peacekeeping force in the 
province,” the respected online publication Balkan Insight said this week. 
“Ukraine, Hungary, Moldova or Bulgaria would probably not attempt to use 
weapons to prevent Russian troop transports from flying over their countries en 
route for Serbia,” says Aleksander Vasovic, the Serbia editor of Balkan 
Insight. 
“It is unlikely that NATO troops would open fire on Russian columns advancing 
into predominantly Serbian northern kosovo, where they would be greeted by the 
local population as liberators,” Mr Vasovic, a seasoned Balkans observer, adds. 
He acknowledges, however, that such a move would “severely undermine and set 
back all Serbia’s hopes of joining the European Union or NATO” and that 
“Western investors would also probably abandon Serbia, leaving the country prey 
to Russian tycoons.” 
But Belgrade watchers say that Serbian Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica 
evidently has few options but to stick close to the Kremlin. Both the Serbs and 
the Russians are hailing their success in stalling the efforts by the Kosovo 
Albanians to become independent before the year’s end. Before contemplating the 
military option, Moscow can influence the EU with its natural gas shipments to 
Europe just as it cut supplies for short periods before to express its 
displeasure with Ukraine and Belarus. Russian President Vladimir Putin may feel 
that if he gives up on Kosovo, his effort to reestablish Russia as a great 
power would be jeopardised, says Mr Vasovic. 
Meanwhile Mr Kostunica has ruled out the possibility of Serbia forging a 
confederation with Kosovo, an idea reportedly floated by the EU. The Serbian 
leader, a moderate nationalist, told the independent Beta news agency that the 
idea, reported by the Belgrade daily Vecernje Novosti, was “nonsensical.” 


(John Phillips)

31 lug 16:05

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