BALKANS: Serbs Wait For Free Wealth

By Vesna Peric Zimonjic

BELGRADE, Jan 7 (IPS) - Going by official media, the Kosovo dispute seems to 
top the nation's agenda. But Serbs have their mind more on visions of free 
wealth that they believe will be theirs, after the Law on Free Distribution of 
Shares came into force last week.

The law provides for free distribution of 15 percent of shares of six 
state-owned entities, the family silver of Serbia, due to be privatised by the 
end of 2008. These are the Oil Industry of Serbia (NIS), Yugoslav Airlines 
(JAT), Electricity Production System (EPS), Telecom Serbia, the Belgrade 
Airport Nikola Tesla, and the pharmaceutical company Galenika. 

Under the privatisation law, an additional 15 percent will go to 150,000 
employees, the state will keep 21 percent, while 49 percent will be sold, 
supposedly to international companies. 

"This means that each of the four million (adult) citizens of Serbia will have 
at least 1,000 euros in his or her pocket," economy and regional development 
minister Mladjan Dinkic told reporters. 

His estimate was based on the assumption that the six companies could be sold 
for more than 12 billion euros (18 billion dollars), an amount much disputed 
among experts. 

"That is only the hypothetical value, the real one will only be seen once the 
companies go on sale," economic expert Danilo Sukovic told IPS. 

It also remains unclear how many shares, in the form of coupons, a person will 
get, and of which company. NIS is the most prosperous of the lot, while JAT and 
Galenika are not so successful. 

The move is disputed for several other reasons. "Not all the four million 
created the value of companies that will go on sale," finance expert Danijel 
Cvjeticanin wrote in Politika daily. "One generation will divide among itself 
what generations before it had created. This was a hasty move, with a clear 
electoral purpose." 

Serbia will hold presidential elections Jan. 20, when reform-oriented President 
Boris Tadic will stand against ultranationalist Tomislav Nikolic. Dinkic is a 
strong supporter of the Tadic bloc. 

The distribution of the share coupons is due to begin Jul. 31. People will be 
required only to present an ID card at the nearest post office or National 
Employment Bureau office. 

"The problem is that people hardly know anything about such privatisation, and 
little was done to inform them," political analyst Misa Brkic told IPS. 
"Everybody thinks now that they'll get a thousand euros in cash or several 
thousand where families are concerned, and are already making plans what to do 
with it." 

Economic recovery in Serbia began seven years ago after a decade of brutal wars 
of disintegration of former Yugoslavia. It has still not reached the 
development level of 1989, the last successful year before the wars. The 
average monthly salary is barely 500 dollars. 

The media has done little to explain what might be at stake over the 
distribution of shares. The announcement was simply greeted with headlines such 
as "Thousand euros go into everybody's pocket" or "Everyone richer by a 
thousand euros". Critics of the plan have been given little space or time, 
despite the mixed results with such offers in other countries. 

A similar move in the Czech Republic in the early 1990s was considered 
successful, but came under strong criticism later for fraud among other things. 
In Slovenia, the only ex-Yugoslav republic that is a member of the European 
Union, a similar move has been launched but not completed. 

State-owned television invited minister Dinkic to explain the process last 
week, but the programme was mostly taken up by audience calls on how much money 
they can expect. (END/2008)

 

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