Tuesday, 12 February 2008

The Russian speech we didn't hear about


 <http://indyblogs.typepad.com/openhouse/2007/06/the-open-house.html> By
Mary Dejevsky

There can be different interpretations of Vladimir Putin’s talk of a new
arms race last week. But a speech given by the country’s most senior
security official at the weekend was an unambiguous attempt to play “good
cop” to Putin’s “bad cop”. 

Sergei Ivanov, defence minister until he was promoted to first deputy prime
minister last year, told an international audience in Munich that his
country had no intention of establishing new military blocs or behaving in a
confrontational manner and would concentrate for the foreseeable future on
improving the living standards of ordinary Russians. 

Several other aspects of Ivanov’s speech deserved notice. He made a point of
speaking in (excellent) English - out of respect, he said, for his
international audience. 

He diverted from his prepared text to stress that Russia would not switch
off anyone’s energy supplies for political reasons: contracts were purely
commercial. "Partners can rest assured that Russia has been strictly
fulfilling and will continue to fulfil all its commitments regarding energy
supplies."   

He denied that Russia was moving back to a state command economy: "Our goal
is not just the mixed economy, but ensuring a close interaction between its
two sectors - state and private, with the eventual shift of the balance
towards the latter." He said that a new regulatory system for foreign
investment was being devised that would enshrine this. 

He trod softly on Kosovo, saying that Russia would not be “more Serbian than
the Serbs”, suggesting that any deal acceptable to Serbia would not be
blocked by Russia. 

Ivanov has long been seen as a Putin ally, with a similar background in St
Petersburg and the Soviet security services. Until recently, he was also
considered Putin’s likely successor. It is not clear what his position will
be when, as is now a foregone conclusion, Dmitry Medvedev, is elected
President next month. But the authority with which he spoke at Munich of
Russia's long-term policy plans, suggests a prominent role in the next
administration – and a less threatening Russia looking out on the world.   

Posted at 12:28 PM in
<http://blogs.independent.co.uk/openhouse/mary_dejevsky/index.html> Mary
Dejevsky |
<http://blogs.independent.co.uk/openhouse/2008/02/the-russian-spe.html>
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