http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/02/23/europe/EU-GEN-Kosovo-The-Recogniti
on-Game.php

Six days after the long- and well-orchestrated
announced secession of the Kosovo province of Serbia:

1) No Balkan state except for Albania has recognized
Kosovo's UDI.
2) Of 54 African nations only one, Senegal, has
recognized Kosovo's UDI.
3) Of 23 members of the Arab League, none has
recognized Kosovo's UDI.
4) Of 57 members of the Organization of the Islamic
Conference, only four - Afghanistan, Albania, Senegal
and Turkey - have recognized Kosovo's UDI.
5) Of 36 nations in the Western Hemisphere, only one -
the United States - has recognized Kosovo's UDI.
6) Of 37 nations in Asia, only Afghanistan, Taiwan and
Turkey have recognized Kosovo's UDI.
7) In Oceania only one nation, Australia, has
recognized Kosovo's UDI.
8) In total, 15 of the world's 192 nations have
acceded to the 'international community's' Kosovo
provocation: the United States, France, Britain,
Germany, Italy, Australia, Afghanistan, Turkey,
Latvia, Estonia, Albania, Denmark, Senegal, Taiwan and
Norway.

Associated Press 
February 22, 2008

The Kosovo Conundrum: Nations around the world ponder
whether to recognize Kosovo 

-[W]ith Moscow adamantly opposed to what it sees as a
slap from the West, and violence erupting in Serbia
and in Kosovo's ethnic Serb enclave, it is too early
to say who will ultimately win the recognition game.
-Russia's envoy to NATO, Dmitry Rogozin, said Friday
that Western nations made "a strategic mistake,
similar to the invasion of Iraq," by backing Kosovo's
independence.
-Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico - an opponent of
independence - said the unrest was evidence that the
West's support for Kosovo's move was a mistake.
"We can already see that the unilateral declaration of
independence didn't help anybody," he said.... 
-"Our Arab region in particular is full of groups of
many religions, faiths, identities and nationalities,"
read a Wednesday editorial in state-owned Egyptian
paper Al-Akhbar by columnist Ibrahim Saada. "What if
Iraq should split into four or five countries, and
Lebanon into six regions?"
-Similar fears have held back many nations in Africa,
where only Senegal has so far recognized Kosovo's
independence.
-Afghanistan has "no economic or commercial links with
Kosovo whatsoever. The reason for the recognition was
just to keep America happy. Since America wanted
Kosovo independent, they put this on the Afghans'
shoulders."

MADRID, Spain - Afghanistan was among the first to
recognize Kosovo's independence, leaping at the chance
to acknowledge a majority Muslim nation in Europe.

Taiwan did too, hoping Kosovo would reciprocate and
poke a thumb at archrival China.

But Spain, with a worried eye on its own breakaway
movements, said it would never affirm Kosovo's
sovereignty.

Worldwide, the response to Kosovo's declaration of
independence has as much to do with history and local
politics as it does with heartfelt feelings for Kosovo
and its people. Observers say mounting violence and
Moscow's fierce opposition could push fence-sitters to
shy away from recognizing Kosovo, or delay their
timetables for naming ambassadors and opening
consulates in the breakaway region.

"It's understandable that some nations will want to
wait and see how things develop before appointing an
ambassador, or opening an embassy," said Professor
Alan Boyle, an international lawyer and academic at
the University of Edinburgh, in Scotland.

"Recognizing a state is a policy decision, but
establishing diplomatic ties is a separate - and often
political - decision," Boyle said. "One doesn't always
follow the other, the U.S. recognizes Cuba, but
doesn't have diplomatic links."

Others were adamant that a rollback on recognition was
impossible, regardless of pressure from Serbia or
Russia.

In Germany, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry said
rescinding recognition of Kosovo was "unimaginable."

"To change the recent recognition is absolutely not
part of any discussion," he said, speaking on
customary condition of anonymity.

Five days after unilaterally declaring independence
from Serbia, nearly two dozen countries have
recognized Kosovo - including major powers like the
United States, Britain and France - and many more say
they are planning to do so in the future.

On Friday, Kosovo Prime Minister Hashim Thaci brushed
aside concerns that his nation's statehood might not
stand the test of time.

"Everything is clear. We have massive recognition," he
said in an interview with The Associated Press.
"Kosovo is an independent state - sovereign and
democratic."

But with Moscow adamantly opposed to what it sees as a
slap from the West, and violence erupting in Serbia
and in Kosovo's ethnic Serb enclave, it is too early
to say who will ultimately win the recognition game.

On Thursday, rioters set the U.S. Embassy in Belgrade
ablaze, and Moscow has said it would block U.N.
recognition of the breakaway region. Russia's envoy to
NATO, Dmitry Rogozin, said Friday that Western nations
made "a strategic mistake, similar to the invasion of
Iraq," by backing Kosovo's independence.

Some nations have already mentioned the violence to
support their position.

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico - an opponent of
independence - said the unrest was evidence that the
West's support for Kosovo's move was a mistake.

"We can already see that the unilateral declaration of
independence didn't help anybody," he said earlier
this week.

But the main reason for opposition - both in Slovakia
and elsewhere - still appears to be homegrown.
Slovakia, which until 1993 was a part of
Czechoslovakia, has a sizable Hungarian minority and
fears Kosovo's move could encourage ethnic tensions at
home.

Spain, one of the biggest Western European countries
opposed to the move, has dealt for decades with the
violent Basque separatist group ETA, which would like
to carve out a separate homeland between Spain and
France. Other Spanish regions - most notably economic
powerhouse Catalonia - have been pressing for more
autonomy in moves some say could lead to the country's
eventual breakup.

"It's a sensitive issue," said Carlos Taibo, a
political science professor at Madrid's Autonomous
University.

Many nations are taking a wait and see approach. 

Jordan, the first Arab country to support NATO's
military operations against Serbia in 1999, is not so
eager to be out front this time. Officials in the
kingdom say they will wait for the United Nations to
pass judgment before taking sides. Many other Arab
nations, like Syria and Egypt, have also declined to
commit, and no Arab country has formally recognized
the would-be state.

"Our Arab region in particular is full of groups of
many religions, faiths, identities and nationalities,"
read a Wednesday editorial in state-owned Egyptian
paper Al-Akhbar by columnist Ibrahim Saada. "What if
Iraq should split into four or five countries, and
Lebanon into six regions?"

Similar fears have held back many nations in Africa,
where only Senegal has so far recognized Kosovo's
independence.

Tom Wheeler, a research fellow at the Johannesburg
based South African Institute of International
Affairs, said there was also a concern among African
countries not to look like they were following what
the West does in a "knee-jerk reaction."

"There is this fixed idea in Africa that colonial
boundaries should not be changed," he said. "South
Africa has been cautious about jumping too fast in any
direction. They are going to watch from a distance for
a little while."

Even among those that have recognized the new country,
reasons have varied and often have had little to do
with any burning camaraderie toward the people of
Kosovo.

Taiwan has been locked in a diplomatic facedown with
China for decades, with each trying to establish
diplomatic ties with as many countries as possible.
China does not recognize Taiwan, which split the
mainland in 1949.

George Tsai of Taipei's Chinese Cultural University
said the Taiwanese move to quickly recognize Kosovo
was an attempt to score points against Beijing, which
is a staunch supporter of the Serbs and has said it is
"gravely concerned" about the independence
declaration.

In Afghanistan, the government of President Hamid
Karzai moved quickly to get behind Kosovo, a tiny
region of 2 million people nearly 5,000 kilometers
(3,000 miles) away.

In its declaration of recognition of Kosovo,
Afghanistan voiced support for Kosovo's overwhelming
Muslim population. But some in the war-ravaged Central
Asia country said the decision was as much about
maintaining strong relations with Washington.

Dr. Mehdi, a spokesman for the National Unity Council,
a group that represents intellectuals in Kabul, said
the move was pure politics.

Afghanistan has "no economic or commercial links with
Kosovo whatsoever. The reason for the recognition was
just to keep America happy," said Mehdi, who like many
Afghans uses only one name. "Since America wanted
Kosovo independent, they put this on the Afghans'
shoulders."

Hafiz Mansoor, a newspaper editor and Kabul-based
analyst, said Afghanistan rushed the decision without
even discussing it in the Cabinet or parliament.

"Some of the lawmakers do not even know where Kosovo
is on the map," he said.
___

Associated Press reporters in Europe, Africa, Asia and
the Middle East contributed to this report.




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