http://www.gulfnews.com/opinion/columns/world/10193472.html

GULF NEWS (UAE)

OPINION

Why US supports Kosovo's independence
By Marwan Kabalan, Special to Gulf News

Published: February 29, 2008, 00:30

Since the declaration of Kosovo's independence from Serbia on February 17,
Arab commentators have been struggling to provide a reasonable analysis of
why the Bush administration has decided to back the move of Kosovo's
Albanian Muslims.

Until recently, the general feeling amongst analysts and observers was that
Kosovo's declaration of independence was nothing more than a hollow threat
and that the US was using the whole issue to pressure Russia to soften its
opposition to a new UN security council resolution to tighten sanctions
against Iran concerning its nuclear programme - a typical great power quid
pro quo.

It turned out, however, that this analysis was out of touch with reality,
causing confusion in Arab policy and intellectual circles. The US has
decided to disregard Russia's opposition and went ahead with the plan to
grant independence to the tiny Serbian province.

The big question that is being asked today by Arab and Muslim analysts is
that why the US has risked a confrontation with Russia over Kosovo and what
are the real interests of the US from supporting the independence of the
Muslim province?

Given the anger in the Arab and Muslim world at US foreign policy in
Afghanistan, Iraq and Palestine, one must admit that the US support for
Kosovo's independence came as a shock to many in the region.

How come the "imperialist and the anti-Islam Bush administration" support
the right to self-determination of a Muslim province against the will of a
Christian government (Serbia in this case)?

There is in fact no easy answer to this question. All one can do is to try
to provide a reasonable analysis that can help understand US policy towards
the Balkan region.

Confusing

Indeed, the ambiguous interests of the US in the Balkan region in the
post-Cold War era must have confused analysts. US policy during the Cold War
was driven almost exclusively by the great rivalry with the Soviet Union and
involved recognisable national interests.

In the post-Cold War era, however, US interests in the Balkan were
particularly unclear.

As a consequence, US policy was widely understood at least partly as being
influenced by humanitarian motives - ethnic cleansing, mass killing,
oppression, military rule, massive human rights violations and people torn
by civil war, urging the international community to come to their rescue.

"For the United States ... what lies behind intervention in the Balkans ...
was neither gold, nor glory, nor strategic calculation. It is, rather,
sympathy. The televised pictures of displaced people in Bosnia and Kosovo
created a political clamour to feed them, which propelled the US military
into these distant parts of the world," a US academic wrote in the late
1999s.

Indeed, the George W. Bush administration must have been influenced by
domestic sympathy to back the independence of Kosovo.

There are, however, more strategic calculations that might have molded the
US decision to support the declaration of independence by the Muslim
province.

The US may have sought to undermine Russia's credibility by exposing its
failure to support a major ally - Serbia. The US may have also wanted to
demonstrate that the new aggressiveness of President Vladimir Putin was mere
rhetoric and that the endeavour of the Russian leader to win back the
super-power status of his country was mere illusion.

Russia's powerlessness to do anything important to help its ally must have
been very costly for the Russian leader, domestically at least. The Bush
administration may have also intended to demonstrate that it does not have
an anti-Islam policy.

The support of a Muslim country must have helped mitigate the anti-US
sentiments in the Muslim world. Washington must have been thrilled to see
the Muslim Albanians of Kosovo waving American flags during independence
celebrations in Pristina, the capital of Kosovo.

Some have even carried posters of President Bush and chanted "Thank you,
USA" and "God bless America." This could not have been achieved by any
public relations campaign.

Dr Marwan Kabalan is a lecturer in Media and International Relations,
Faculty of Political Science and Media, Damascus University, Damascus,
Syria.

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