ANALYSIS-Serbs bid for Bosnia-style division in Kosovo

 

By Matt Robinson

PRISTINA, Feb 29 (Reuters) - The West has said it won't allow another
dysfunctional Bosnia in the Balkans. But that might be precisely what it
gets in Kosovo.

Torn apart in the 1992-5 conflict over the breakup of Socialist Yugoslavia,
Bosnia has been under Western protection for more than a decade and its Serb
half is still resisting European Union-backed efforts to centralise the
administration.

Its two autonomous parts, the Serb Republic and Muslim-Croat federation,
have separate governments, parliaments, police, courts, budgets,
stockmarkets and even school textbooks and the lack of cooperation is
stymieing its chances of joining the EU.

When the West began pushing for a decision on the future of Kosovo, under
U.N.-control since Serb atrocities against separatist Albanians in 1998-9,
it ruled out dividing it along ethnic lines as in Bosnia.

But less than two weeks since Kosovo's Albanian leaders declared
independence from Serbia with Western backing, Serbs are entrenching the
ethnic divide, rejecting EU overtures and dismantling the few remaining ties
with the capital, Pristina.

Serbia is implementing a plan to tighten its grip on Serb areas, notably the
north where Serbs live in almost total isolation from Kosovo's
Albanian-dominated institutions.

"Imagine you place a transparent map over the map of Kosovo," said a senior
Western official in Kosovo. "Over the map of Kosovo, a second map marks Serb
areas which Belgrade controls. That's what Belgrade is doing."

Customs, police and courts are all being targeted in a concerted effort to
divide them between Serbs and Albanians.

Within days of Kosovo's Feb 17 declaration, Serb mobs had burned down the
two main border posts on its northern border, and Serbs have so far
prevented the return of customs officers.

On Friday, some 500 Serb officers in the Kosovo police service boycotted
work, demanding they no longer report to the force headquarters but to the
U.N. police.

Serb officers in the north are already reporting to the U.N. police,
fuelling fears the force is splitting in two.

A Serb minister said this week Serbia planned to have "our own police" in
Serb areas of Kosovo. It was all part of an 'action plan' to maintain
Serbia's presence, he said.



"LOYAL CITIZENS"

Serbia knows it cannot control Albanian areas, but Prime Minister Vojislav
Kostunica says it will continue to rule parts of Kosovo where "loyal
citizens" look to Belgrade for support.

James Lyon of the International Crisis Group thinktank said Belgrade saw
Bosnia's division as a model for Serbs and Albanians in Kosovo, which it
still considered part of Serbia.

"The Republika Srpska (Bosnian Serb Republic) style is acceptable for
Serbia, but within the confines that it (Kosovo) is still part of Serbia,"
he said, adding "It's partition on all levels."

In Kosovo, 120,000 Serbs live parallel to the roughly 2 million Albanians
who now run the country. Almost half live in the north, the rest in
scattered enclaves watched over by a 16,000-strong NATO-led peace force.

A condition of Kosovo's independence was that its Albanian leaders allowed
full Serb participation in government and prevented any return to the
Albanian violence against Serbs that followed NATO's takeover of the
then-province in 1999.

But as in Bosnia, Kosovo's Serb leaders are not interested in integration
and while in Bosnia, a common language and culture are divided only by
ethnicity and religion, in Kosovo there are two languages, two cultures and
two religions.

Before the Yugoslav federation fell apart, communities in Bosnia were mixed.
In Kosovo, Serbs and Albanians always led very separate lives. It is a much
deeper gulf to bridge, said a Western diplomat with long experience in
ex-Yugoslavia.



RUSSIAN BACKING

The Serbs only briefly took part in Kosovo's parliament after the 1998-99
war, and boycotted elections in 2004 and 2007 under orders from hardliners
and the Serb Orthodox Church.

They trade in the Serbian dinar, not the Euro. They are schooled according
to the Serbian curriculum, treated by the Serbian Health Ministry, make
phone calls through Serbia's fixed-line operator and apply for driving
licences and other documents through authorities that take orders from
Belgrade.

Serbia has the backing of Russia, which insists Western recognition of
Kosovo is illegal without a new U.N. Security Council Resolution, which
Moscow last year blocked.

An advance EU team taking over supervision of Kosovo have withdrawn from the
Serb stronghold of north Mitrovica due to security concerns. Branded
"occupiers" in advance, it is unclear how the mission, which has yet to
fully deploy, will operate in the north without round-the-clock NATO guard.

Albanian inmates and staff at the north Mitrovica prison have been
relocated, and Serb protesters have stopped dozens of Albanians from working
at the town's court.

The north is even bidding for its own parliament when Serbs in Kosovo take
part in Serbian local elections in May.

"Serbia will use all possible means (except military force) to demonstrate
its irrevocable sovereignty over Kosovo," ex-U.S. ambassador to Belgrade,
William Montgomery, wrote this week.

"It is hard to see, for example, how any Serb will be able to participate in
the Kosovo parliament, in government of any form."

Kosovo Serb politician Oliver Ivanovic said the division would be long-term.
"This status, by which the north will be similar to (Bosnia's) Serb
Republic, will not last months, but years," he said. (Additional reporting
by Douglas Hamilton; editing by Philippa Fletcher) 

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