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INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND SECURITY NETWORK (SWITZERLAND)

Kosovo balkanizes Europe, again

Kosovo's declaration of independence has opened numerous fissures, exposing
just how divided Europe really is. From Strategic Studies Group.

By Soeren Kern for Strategic Studies Group (29/02/08)

In 1991, as the Balkans were disintegrating, the then-Foreign Minister of
Luxembourg, Jacques Poos, proclaimed: "This is the hour of Europe. It is not
the hour of the Americans." It was (presumably) his way of saying that
European governments had a responsibility to intervene in a crisis that
threatened the stability of Europe.

But Europeans, paralyzed by their divisions, were unable to prevent an
escalation of the conflict and Yugoslavia descended into the abyss of ethnic
cleansing that cost more than 250,000 lives. It was only after the United
States stepped in that a peace agreement was finally secured.

Fast-forward to 2008 and the Balkans are again confirming to the world that
Europe, notwithstanding all of its superpower pretensions, remains as
divided and as weak as ever. Despite several months (indeed years) of heated
deliberations about the future status of Kosovo, European Union foreign
ministers have not been able to agree on a common EU position. And now that
the long-awaited moment of Kosovo independence has finally arrived, the EU
has been able only to issue a face-saving official statement: It says it is
up to individual member states to decide whether to recognize the newly
self-proclaimed republic.

Although all the major countries in Europe - France, Germany, Italy and the
United Kingdom - have moved quickly to recognize Kosovo as an independent
country, at least seven EU member states say they will not acknowledge the
new state. They worry that their own minorities could exploit the precedent
that Kosovo sets.

Cyprus, for example, which is divided into the Turkish-occupied north and
the Greek south, has called the bluff on the well-worn myth of European
unity. Cypriot Foreign Minister Erato Kozakou-Marcoullis said: "We will
never recognize the independence of Kosovo."

Romania is also opposed to Kosovo independence; it worries that Russian
separatists might press their claim on the disputed region of Transnistria
in neighboring Moldova. Romanian President Traian Basescu called Kosovo's
declaration "an illegal act." Ditto for Slovakia. It fears its ethnic
Hungarian minority may secede. Slovakian Foreign Minister Jan Kubis said:
"Slovakia does not see a way to recognize Kosovo."

Greece and the Netherlands, meanwhile, are taking a wait-and-see approach.
Greek Foreign Minister Dora Bakoyannis said: "Greece will take any of its
decisions at a later stage." And Dutch Foreign Minister Maxime Verhagen
said: "Lets first wait for Kosovo's Constitution. We need to examine the
issue closely and ensure that human rights and the rights of the Serb
minority are respected."

The Czech Republic, for its part, says it needs more time. "The EU will be
like a cycling pack. Some countries will move quickly, some will need
several weeks," said Czech European Affairs Minister Alexandr Vondra.

Few EU countries are probably more nervous about Kosovo than is Spain, which
fears it could further fuel separatist passions in the Spanish regions of
the Basque country, Catalonia and Galicia.

The question of separatism is already at the top of the political agenda in
the 9 March general elections. The center-right opposition accuses Socialist
Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero of having encouraged separatism
through his (badly botched) attempt to negotiate with ETA, the Basque
terrorist group. Indeed, Spanish Foreign Minister Miguel Angel Moratinos
tried to persuade Kosovo leaders to delay their independence declaration
until after the Spanish elections. In any case, Zapatero has been keen not
to antagonize Basque and Catalan nationalists because they are essential to
his governing coalition.

Predictably, the nationalist parties in Spain have welcomed Kosovo's
declaration of independence.

In the Basque region, for example, Eusko Alkartasuna, a Basque nationalist
party, said that Kosovo had exercised "its right to self-determination."
Another Basque separatist party, Aralar, said Kosovo's declaration was a
"lesson in the defense of rights" of minorities, and called on the Spanish
government to "grant the Basques the right to freely and democratically
decide their future."

The Basque regional government, which plans to stage a referendum on Basque
independence in October 2008, said that Kosovo's declaration was "lesson to
follow" in resolving matters of "conflicts of identity."

In Catalonia, where a sizeable minority would like to be independent from
Spain, Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya, a leftist nationalist party, said
the declaration by the Kosovo parliament establishes "an important
precedent." Meanwhile, the center-right Convergència i Unió, called on
Madrid to recognize Kosovo's independence. "If the Socialist government
refuses to recognize what most of the EU recognizes, that shows that it is
afraid or that it does not have democracy in mind," it said.

British Foreign Secretary David Miliband has tried to put a brave face on
the divisions plaguing the EU. He declared that Europe has provided "clear
leadership" on Kosovo. Slovenian Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel, whose
country holds the EU's rotating presidency, agrees: "The EU once again
survived this test of unity," he said, albeit somewhat unconvincingly.

The patchwork of contradictory positions on Kosovo shows (once again) that,
in the real world, there is no such thing as European unity.

Soeren Kern is Senior Analyst for Transatlantic Relations at the
Madrid-based Grupo de Estudios Estratégicos / Strategic Studies Group.

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