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DAILY PIONEER (INDIA)

COMMENT

March 6, 2008

Can't go with US on Kosovo

G. Parthasarathy

Pluralistic states, still grappling with problems of strengthening national
unity, while cherishing religious, ethnic and cultural diversities, are now
confronted with the challenge of how to deal with the unilateral declaration
of independence by the Muslim-majority Kosovo region of Serbia. Kosovo was
an integral part of Serbia since the 12th century, with the invading
Ottomans defeating the outnumbered Serbs in the epic battle of Kosovo in
1389, before it was eventually absorbed in the Ottoman Empire in 1455.
Ottoman rule, which ended in 1912, resulted in a steady influx of Albanian
Muslims, with Muslims becoming a majority during the 19th century.

Following the Nazi depredations of World War II, Kosovo became an autonomous
region of the People's Republic of Serbia, as a member of the Federal
People's Republic of Yugoslavia. Throughout the 20th century the
relationship between the Serbs and the Albanians in Kosovo remained tense
and violent.

With the disintegration of Socialist Yugoslavia in the 1990s, tension rose
in the Balkans. The Clinton Administration joined the European Union in
dubbing Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic as a "new Hitler". Following 78
days of relentless bombing of Serbia by the US in 1999, Kosovo was placed
under a transitional UN Administration, under UN Security Council Resolution
1244. The UN Resolution reaffirmed "the commitment of all member states to
the sovereignty and territorial integrity" of the Federal Republic of
Yugoslavia, of which the Federal Republic of Serbia was the Successor state.
It also established a requirement that the post-conflict constitutional
process must take full account of the principles of sovereignty and
territorial integrity of the Federal Republic of Serbia. In practical terms,
however, Kosovo became a NATO-EU protectorate, with the deployment of NATO
forces and EU administrators to run the region.

The danger of appointing politicians from monolithic Scandinavian countries,
with no experience of problems of reconciling the imperatives of national
unity with the demands of minorities, became evident when the UN appointed
Mediator and former President of Finland Marti Ahtissari delivered a draft
proposal to the UN for "supervised independence" for Kosovo in total
disregard of UN Security Council Resolution 1244. This plan was considered
by a three-member group comprising former US envoy to India Frank Wisner,
Russian representative Alexander Khuchenko and EU envoy Wolfgang Ischinger.
They failed to agree on the future status of Kosovo, with the Russians
refusing to countenance any end to Serbian sovereignty.

The Russians believe, not without good reason, that the Americans and their
NATO allies see developments in Kosovo as part of larger strategy of
"containment" of Russia, through the expansion of NATO and even by tacitly
backing separatism in Chechnya and elsewhere in Russia. Differences over
Kosovo also reflect tension between Russia on the one hand and the EU and
the US on the other over access to the oil resources of the former Soviet
Union.

Despite its declaration of independence, Kosovo is set to remain a
protectorate of the European Union, administered by more than 2,000 EU
officials, with its security ensured by a large NATO troop presence. This is
perhaps what Mr Ahtisarri envisaged when he spoke of "supervised
independence". It has been noted that such 'independence' enables the
Americans to maintain a strategic military base at Camp Bondsteel in the
breakaway region - the largest American military base to come up in Europe
over the last generation.

Moreover, the Americans appear to have plans through 'AMBO' -- the Albania,
Macedonia, Bulgarian Oil Corporation, registered in the US -- to build a
trans-Balkans oil pipeline. This pipeline, bypassing Russia, will bring oil
from the Caspian Sea to terminals in Georgia and then by tanker through the
Black Sea to the Bulgarian port of Burgas and then relay it through
Macedonia to the Albanian port of Vlora, for shipment to refineries in
Rotterdam and the US west coast.

An astute observer recently noted: "Clinton's war against Yugoslavia and
pro-Albania (stance) was thus crucial to secure Vlora's strategic location."
Both Mr Bill Clinton's Energy Secretary Bill Richardson and US
Vice-President Dick Cheney reportedly have longstanding links with
Halliburton, the company that prepared the AMBO feasibility study for the
oil transport corridor.

Despite the haste with which the US and its NATO allies -- the UK, Germany
and France -- have recognised Kosovo, there are serious differences within
the EU about according recognition. Countries like Spain, Cyprus, Greece and
Rumania have expressed reservations. Individual EU countries have,
therefore, been given the freedom to choose their own course of action.
Similarly, though the Organisation of Islamic Conference has welcomed the
declaration of independence, only a few Islamic countries like Albania and
Turkey have thus far recognised the separatist entity.

In Africa, South Africa has called for further negotiations for a settlement
acceptable to both Serbs and Albanians. While Bangladesh has been cautious,
Pakistan "supports the legitimate aspirations of the Kosovars" without yet
according formal recognition. With the LTTE describing developments in
Kosovo as a precedent for a 'Tamil Eelam', Sri Lanka has asserted that it
will not recognise the separatist entity. Within ASEAN, with the exception
of Malaysia, other members have varying degrees of concern about these
developments in Kosovo, with Vietnam categorically opposing recognition.

Both India and China have reservations about events in Kosovo. New Delhi has
spoken of the need to respect the sovereignty and territorial integrity of
all states and expressed the belief that the issue should have been resolved
through consultations and dialogue between the concerned parties. Mr
Manmohan Singh's Government seems to disregard the implications of such
diplomatic obfuscation.

Separatists in Jammu & Kashmir are overjoyed, with Shabir Shah hailing
'Kosovo's independence struggle' and asserting that the day is "not far of
when Kashmir will be free". His compatriot, Yasin Malik, has appealed to the
"world community, especially the EU, to play a Kosovo-like role to get the
dispute in Kashmir settled". The head of the US-based 'Khalistan Affairs
Centre', Amarjit Singh, too, has welcomed developments in Kosovo and
proclaimed that India's views are coloured by the "aspirations of a number
of 'nations' like Kashmir, Assam and Nagalim in general and Khalistan in
particular".

India is a pluralistic, secular country which barely a generation ago faced
the trauma of partition, driven by religion. It has no option but to join
Russia and other like-minded countries in denying legitimacy to separatism
in Kosovo.

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