Kosovo: The tough challenge before EU
By Shadaba Islam

Kosovo’s declaration of independence from Serbia presents an array of tough
challenges for the European Union (EU). 

The emergence of Europe’s tiny, new, independent and largely Muslim nation
has -- once again -- split the 27-nation bloc: Britain, France and Germany
have joined the U.S. in backing Kosovo’s independence while others,
including Cyprus and Spain, oppose the move. 

Rifts in EU unity are only part of the problem, however. The EU has also
taken on the daunting task of trying to ensure peace and security in an
impoverished and volatile country, still torn apart by ethnic divisions
between the majority Kosovar Albanian population and a small Serb minority
in the north and east of the country. 

In addition, further tensions have emerged with Russia which opposes
Kosovo’s secession from Serbia. Officials in Brussels are also struggling
unsuccessfully to balance support for Kosovo with diplomatic overtures to
Serbia which has warned it will never accept the violation of its
territorial sovereignty. 

Kosovo has, in fact, loomed large on the EU’s foreign policy agenda for more
than a decade. Many view the creation of the new state as a chance to dispel
the ghosts of the 1990s, when Europe had to rely on the U.S. to halt the
bloody break up of Yugoslavia. The territory has been administered by the
United Nations since 1999 when NATO bombed Belgrade to end a crackdown on
Albanian separatists. The province has, however, officially remained part of
Serbia. 

EU governments sought initially to forge a joint response to Kosovo’s
independence. But the divisions proved to be insurmountable. Those extending
immediate recognition to the new state argue that failing to meet Kosovar
Albanians aspirations for independence will mean more instability in the
region. The EU, they insist, will help build a democratic, stable and
multi-ethnic state which could -- one day -- have a ‘European future’. 

Others fear, however, that Kosovo’s secession sets a dangerous precedent for
other separatist movements. Despite reassurances from Brussels that Kosovo
is a unique case, Cyprus, Greece, Romania, Slovakia and Spain -- struggling
to contain their own pro-independence groups -- have said they will not
recognize Pristina’s declaration of independence. EU officials warn that
partial recognition could deter investment, prevent Kosovo from accepting
loans from international institutions, impede the Union from signing trade
and cooperation deals and place limitations on the travel of Kosovars. 

Differences over Kosovo’s status notwithstanding, EU states have sent a
joint 2,000 strong police and justice mission to Kosovo to train and mentor
police, judges and customs officials. The bloc is also planning to inject
substantial funds into one of Europe’s poorest nations. A recent EU report
warned that unemployment in Kosovo is close to 50 per cent, wealth per
person is five per cent of the EU average, and corruption and organized
crime are rampant. Transparency International, the Berlin-based corruption
watchdog, recently classified Kosovo as the world’s fourth most corrupt
economy, after Cameroon, Cambodia and Albania. 

Kosovo’s economy will remain dependent on foreign aid for the foreseeable
future, say analysts while its security will be guaranteed by 16,000 NATO
troops and its political affairs managed by the EU mission. 

The EU’s already-strained relations with an angry and assertive Russia also
appear headed for even choppier waters. Moscow has blocked any United
Nations resolution on Kosovo’s independence, warning that statehood for
Pristina is a ‘provocation’ that will encourage restive minorities along the
former Soviet Union’s southern rim. If Kosovo can break free, argue
officials in Moscow, Abkhazia and South Ossetia also deserve independence or
secession from Georgia. 

Disagreement over Kosovo adds to the growing list of differences between the
West and Russia, including Moscow’s fury at U.S. plans to deploy a missile
shield in Poland and the Czech Republic and rising EU concerns at Russia’s
use of its vast energy resources as a foreign policy tool. 

Not surprisingly, EU relations with Serbia have also nose-dived. EU
officials have been trying -- with no success -- for the last few months to
reassure Belgrade that their support for Kosovo’s independence does not mean
that Brussels is turning its back on Serbia. 

While Belgrade is not being offered a full partnership agreement until it
rounds up key war crimes suspects, the EU has said it is ready to sign an
interim accord with Serbia as proof of its determination to forge closer
ties with the country and prepare it for future EU membership. 

Serbia, however, is in no mood to compromise. Serbian Prime Minister
Vojislav Kostunica has spurned EU offers of friendship and Serb leaders have
also slammed the EU policy mission in Kosovo as an ‘occupation’ of
Belgrade’s territory. Recent attacks by Serb citizens on foreign embassies
and missions have also shocked the U.S. and the EU, with many angrily
arguing that the authorities did not do enough to stop the angry crowds. 

Kosovo also faces the threat of an economic embargo by Serbia, which,
incensed by Kosovo’s independence, could decide to cut it off. But
economists argue that a trade blockade by Serbia would hurt Serbia more than
Kosovo, because Serbia exports $200m worth of goods to Kosovo each year. 

Responding to these and other challenges to their regional role and
authority will be a key challenge for EU governments over the coming months.
The task ahead is daunting. But at stake is EU credibility as a regional
power, capable of bringing peaceful change in its neighborhood through soft
power, not the military. 

The writer is Dawn’s correspondent in Brussels. 

(Source: Dawn) 

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