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Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Analysis: Are UN, EU Part Of The Problem In Kosovo?

By RFE/RL analyst Patrick Moore

UNMIK will continue to have its stamp on the administration of Kosovo
(official site)

The EU planned earlier this year to take over the international community's
civilian functions in Kosovo from the UN mission around June 15, when
independent Kosovo's constitution takes effect. It now appears that the UN
mission will remain in place for some time to come, and that the EU's
mission will not be up to strength until at least the fall. There are
several reasons for the changes.

Italian Foreign Minster Franco Frattini said in Brussels on May 26 that EU's
EULEX mission of up to 2,200 police, judges, and advisers will "be operative
in the field [only] after the summer, [namely in] September and October."
Slovenian Foreign Minister Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel, whose country
holds the rotating EU Presidency, stressed that there "might be some little
delays, but nothing dramatic." The men spoke after EU foreign ministers
discussed the future of EULEX. During its presidency, which ends on June 30,
Slovenia has placed special stress on the EU's role in the western Balkans.

In keeping with the plan put forward by former Finnish President Martti
Ahtisaari, who was UN special envoy for Kosovo from 2005-07, Kosovo's
independence is under international supervision, particularly where minority
rights, security, and the judiciary are concerned. Dutch diplomat Pieter
Feith heads the International Civilian Office, as well as the EU's Office of
the Special Representative. EULEX, which is the most important component of
the EU mission, is headed by Yves de Kermabon, a French former commander of
NATO's KFOR peacekeepers.

Although June 15 is fast approaching, the EU currently has only about 300
people on the ground in Kosovo, many of whom are undergoing training in
Pristina. EU foreign-policy chief Javier Solana said in Brussels on May 26
that deployment of EU personnel is continuing as planned but noted that he
wants to discuss the future of the operation with UN Secretary-General Ban
Ki-moon on the margins of a conference on Iraq in Stockholm on May 29.

Logistical and recruitment delays are only part of the reason for EULEX's
slow start; problems in securing a broader international mandate are
another. The current international civilian brief for Kosovo is vested in
the UN Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK) under the auspices of UN Security Council
Resolution 1244 of 1999. Accordingly, some diplomatic formula must be found
to transfer at least part of UNMIK's mandate to the EU and EULEX.

Until recently, that did not appear to pose much of a problem. Ban said on
January 28 that Kosovo is a "European issue" and primarily a responsibility
of the EU. But as Germany's "Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung" noted on May
21, the UN is no longer accommodating the EU in its wish for a transfer of
mandates on June 15 because Ban has become "more reserved." UNMIK, for
example, has become reluctant to hand over cars, equipment, and offices to
the EU, which the two sides had previously discussed informally. The EU
meanwhile hopes at least for an official letter from Ban inviting EULEX to
take up its mission. The UN might insist, however, on a more formal
agreement.

Ban has reportedly become more restrained out of deference to the wishes of
Russia, which has a veto in the Security Council and whose support he needs
if he decides to seek a second term in office. Russia maintains that only
1244 provides a legal basis for Kosovo. Moscow also argues that Kosovo's
declaration of independence is illegal, and that the EU's planned mission
has no legal basis because it is linked to Kosovar independence and lacks a
Security Council mandate. Russian diplomats argue that they have no
objection to an EU mission in principle, but stress that it must be approved
by the UN.

To complicate matters further, on March 11, Russian Ambassador to the UN
Vitaly Churkin called for new negotiations between Belgrade and Pristina on
Kosovo's status, a proposal that is regarded as a nonstarter in Pristina and
most Western capitals. On May 15, the foreign ministers of Russia, China,
and India issued a call for new talks between Belgrade and Pristina "within
the framework of international laws to seek a solution for the Serbian
territory." Nor does Moscow miss an opportunity to link the question of
Kosovo's independence to some issues outside the Balkans, namely to the
status of the so-called frozen conflicts in the former Soviet Union.

In fact, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told the State Duma on April 2 that
"we have done all we could to disrupt plans to achieve quick and broad
international recognition of Kosovo." He added that "we are not allowing the
Kosovo issue to be taken outside the United Nations and have prevented the
UN secretary-general from consecrating the European Union's mission to
Kosovo, which does not have a UN mandate." A few days before Lavrov spoke,
former Russian Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakov, who was one of the Soviet
Union's top Middle East experts and the first director of Russia's Foreign
Intelligence Service (SVR), told the Belgrade daily "Vecernje novosti" that
the only practical solution for Kosovo is a partition along ethnic lines,
which would include population transfers. It is not clear whether Primakov
was speaking for anyone but himself. The UN, the EU, the United States, and
the Kosovo government all support a multiethnic Kosovo and reject partition.

Besides Russian objections to the EU mission, there are other reasons for
UNMIK to plan on staying beyond June 15, although it has no desire to remain
in Kosovo at its present strength. The most important is that the EU needs
the UN as a partner in northern Kosovo, where the Serbs have organized
structures that recognize UNMIK but not EULEX. In other words, the EU will
have to work through UNMIK if it is to play any role at all in the north,
where 40 percent of the Serbian minority lives and violent protests took
place in the spring.

Much remains to be clarified in the run-up to June 15. Speaking in Vienna on
April 17, Feith nonetheless declined to specify any time frame for
transferring UNMIK's mandate to EULEX, saying that "it is a matter for the
EU and UN to take this further." He added that nobody should be "hung up"
about the lack of a specific date for the transfer. But German Foreign
Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said on May 26 that the EU mission could be
delayed if no agreement is reached with the UN by June 15.

Joachim Ruecker, who heads UNMIK, told RFE/RL's South Slavic and Albanian
Language Service on May 23 that the UN will remain present in Kosovo after
June 15 and as long as Resolution 1244 remains in force. He stressed that
there must not be any duplication of missions between UNMIK and EULEX,
because that would not be fair to the taxpayers who fund them.

There is also the matter of protection for the civilian missions by the
16,000-strong KFOR. Its spokesman, French Colonel Jean-Luc Cotard, said on
March 27 that KFOR has no orders to support the deployment of EU staff. He
stressed that "we are aware of the situation, but in fact it's a political
issue. Before doing anything, the politicians have to deal with it at the
EU, UN, and NATO level." On May 23, NATO Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop
Scheffer said in Sofia that KFOR will remain after June 15 and stressed that
the UN and EU must determine what their respective responsibilities will be
after that date.

Britain's "The Times" argued on May 26 that unnamed NATO sources believe
that Kosovo's Albanians have been "remarkably restrained" when confronted by
violence from within the Serbian community in recent months. Those same
sources warned, however, that "the political stability of Kosovo is being
undermined by the failure of the United Nations and the European Community
to clarify their roles and responsibilities.... '[The] key is for the EU
police mission fully to take responsibility for policing Kosovo, but there
seems to be some hesitation over this, which puts the NATO troops...in a
difficult position. KFOR is not supposed to be a police force but is there
to maintain a safe and secure environment,' one NATO diplomatic source
said." The daily stressed that failure to define and clarify the respective
roles of UNMIK and EULEX could "provoke potential problems" after June 15.

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