One year after independence, Kosovo needs 'a revolution'

Kosovo proclaimed independence on 17 February 2008 (Photo: Wikipedia)

ELITSA VUCHEVA <mailto:[email protected]> 

Today @ 06:59 CET

EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS – One year after its declaration of independence, Kosovo 
has surprised observers by remaining stable but it has yet to tackle the 
profound reforms it needs to make it a viable state.

When it unilaterally seceded from Serbia on 17 February 2008, many voiced fears 
about the future of the young state and about possible outbursts of violence 
between Kosovo's Albanian majority and its minority Serb population, loyal to 
Belgrade.

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This is why "the stability that was preserved" is undisputedly Kosovo's main 
achievement during this one year, Ilir Dugolli, Kosovo's envoy in Brussels, 
told EUobserver.

"We have to go back more than a year ago and think about all the warnings that 
were coming ahead of the declaration of independence. That it would be a 
criminal state, a state that cannot sustain itself, or that there were going to 
be waves of refugees, expelled [Kosovo] Serbs and so on," Mr Dugolli said, 
highlighting the contrast between those "dire scenarios" and the reality on the 
ground.

But despite the relatively stable security situation acknowledged by many 
observers, Kosovo still has considerable challenges to face, both internally 
and internationally.

It has only been recognised by 54 out of the United Nations' 192 members, 
including the US and 22 EU member states, but excluding five EU countries – 
Spain, Greece, Cyprus, Romania and Slovakia.

This significantly impedes Kosovo's access to international institutions.

In addition, analysts note that economically and socially Kosovo has in fact 
changed very little during its first year of existence as an independent state.

'Revolution' needed

"Many of the big problems that were there before… have not been addressed, 
obviously," said Verena Knaus, a Pristina-based analyst from the European 
Stability Initiative (ESI) – a non-profit policy institute known for its 
analyses and research work on South East Europe.

Electricity problems, bad infrastructure, poor rural and economic development, 
high levels of poverty and unemployment still exist, she pointed out noting 
that a dramatic improvement in education is needed to build "a competitive 
Kosovo.".

For ESI chairman Gerald Knaus, it is also "striking how little has changed" in 
the country in terms of its development in the past year.

"Kosovo as it is today needs a revolution. It needs a social revolution, an 
economic and institutional revolution," Mr Knaus told EUobserver.

"What you really need is that in 50 years, people in Kosovo all do different 
things from what they do today. They know different skills, they produce 
different goods, [and] the institutions work differently," he added.

Meanwhile, Dutch Green MEP Joost Lagendijk, in charge of the Kosovo dossier for 
the European parliament, was cautiously optimistic.

Despite the "enormous amount of work still to be done…things have started 
working," Mr Lagendijk said.

He notably pointed out that although "the EU took a very long time" to react in 
Kosovo, it now "finally seems to be moving" and could assist Kosovo in its 
reforms.

EULEX – the EU's police and justice mission to Kosovo – is one element of the 
bloc's presence in Kosovo that could eventually be "a success," the MEP 
stressed.

After several delays, EULEX has been fully operational throughout Kosovo since 
9 December, taking over police, justice and customs tasks from United Nations 
personnel.

But the fact that it was slow to start, in addition to Belgrade's intervention 
in the process, means that the EU mission has lost some credibility on the 
ground, Ms Knaus said.

An EU future for Kosovo?

Alongside its internal problems, another important stumbling block for the 
young country today is the EU's failure to unanimously recognise it as an 
independent state.

"The problem of Kosovo one year after independence is that it still lacks a 
credible EU perspective," which it cannot be given "as long as the EU is 
divided on what Kosovo is," Mr Knaus said.

Such an approach risks "deepening the isolation of Kosovo," he warned.

For his part, Mr Dugolli admitted the lack of full EU recognition was an 
important issue, but expressed confidence that it would eventually be solved, 
paving to way for Pristina's full membership of the bloc in the long term.

A Gallup survey published last November revealed that among the citizens from 
the western Balkans, Kosovars were the most optimistic in terms of their 
country's EU future.

They were almost unanimously in favour of EU membership – at 89 percent. But Mr 
Dugolli warned that if there is no "specific concrete progress" then this 
support is likely to diminish.

No World Cup yet

Together with the lack of unanimity among EU members on recognising the 
continent's youngest country, the more general lack of consensus in the United 
Nations has also creating practical hurdles for Pristina.

Kosovo has no area code today, and if one wants to reach somebody in Kosovo by 
phone, they have to dial Serbia's area code for landlines, and Monaco's for 
mobiles.

In addition, Kosovars cannot enjoy the privilege of cheering for their football 
team during the Euro or World football championships, because Kosovo must be a 
UN member in order to be allowed into both UEFA and FIFA.

"First of all, it is unfair to those people for whom sports is their life. It 
is unfair to be prevented, to be isolated," said Mr Dugolli, himself a sports 
fan.

But he was confident this would progressively change and could "certainly" 
imagine a match between Kosovo and Serbia one day in the future.

For its part, Serbia has repeatedly said it would never recognise its former 
province as a sovereign state and has vowed to block it from membership to 
international institutions.

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