http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/02/27/europe/27bosnia.php

 

 

A fraud case against the Serb Republic's prime minister, Milorad Dodik,
precipitated a crisis. Bosnia is made up of a Muslim-Croat Federation and a
Serb Republic, and divisions are strong. (Damir Sagolj/Reuters) 


Tensions rise in fragile Bosnia as Serbs threaten to seek independence


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<http://www.iht.com/cgi-bin/search.cgi?query=By%20Dan%20Bilefsky&sort=public
ationdate&submit=Search> By Dan Bilefsky 

Published: February 27, 2009

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PRAGUE <http://www.iht.com/articles/2009/02/27/europe/27bosnia.php> :
Bosnian Serb leaders have threatened to pull out of state institutions and
are pressing anew for independence from Bosnia and Herzegovina, threatening
to throw the fragile, multiethnic country into political crisis once again.

Analysts and observers of the region said the situation could unravel the
United States-brokered Dayton accords of 1995, which ended a savage war that
killed more than 100,000 people, most of them Muslims, between 1992 and
1995. The pact divided Bosnia and Herzegovina into a Muslim-Croat Federation
and a Serb Republic, presided over by a decentralized political system that
reinforced rather than healed ethnic divisions.

The crisis comes at a critical time, just a few weeks after the United
Nations and European Union envoy to Bosnia, Miroslav Lajcak, was appointed
foreign minister of his native Slovakia, creating what analysts called a
potentially dangerous power vacuum. United Nations officials stressed
Tuesday that Lajcak would continue to exercise his powers until a
replacement was found.

Srecko Latal, a Bosnia specialist at the Balkan Investigative Reporting
Network in Sarajevo, the country's capital, warned that the West, distracted
by the global financial crisis, Iraq and Afghanistan, was ignoring trouble
signs in Bosnia, in its own backyard. "The United States and the European
Union must engage, not just for the sake of Bosnia but because the world
can't afford to allow what happened the last time," he said.

Bosnia's security is guaranteed by 2,000 European Union peacekeepers. But
Latal said the force was not strong enough to contain hostilities, should
they erupt. Sketching a worst-case possibility, he warned that if the Serb
Republic declared independence, neighboring Croatia would respond by sending
in troops, and Bosnian Muslims would take up arms.

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Bosnian Serb officials, Western diplomats and the police said the crisis
began last week when the country's state police agency sent a report to the
State Prosecutor's Office with allegations involving the Serb Republic's
prime minister, Milorad Dodik.

The case outlined in the State Investigation and Protection Agency report
related to corruption, fraud and misuse of finances involving several
important government contracts in the Bosnian Serb Republic. They included
allegations concerning a $146 million government building in Banja Luka.

Gordan Milosevic, a spokesman for Dodik, said Tuesday by telephone that the
allegations were politically motivated. He said the case breached due
process because it had been forwarded without the approval of top Bosnian
Serb officials in the State Investigation and Protection Agency and the
prosecutor's office.

Dodik expressed indignation last weekend, saying he was the victim of a
witch hunt aimed at undermining him and the Bosnian Serb Republic. "Even the
little faith I had in the state of Bosnia and Herzegovina is now lost due to
this farce with the criminal charges against me," he said last week. "They
have made this country pointless."

He also vented his ire at a meeting in Mostar, where leaders of Bosnia's
three main ethnic groups were discussing how to press forward with changes
to the Constitution. Attendees at the meeting said Dodik stormed out after
one hour. Before leaving, they said, he delivered an ultimatum that a new
constitution could proceed only if it affirmed the right of the Bosnian Serb
Republic to national self-determination and enshrined its right to hold a
referendum on independence.

Adding to the tensions, Dodik said recently that the investigation against
him had probably been devised by the deputy United Nations high
representative in Bosnia, Raffi Gregorian. In November, Dodik filed criminal
charges against Gregorian and foreign prosecutors in Bosnia, accusing them
of plotting against his government after they opened a corruption
investigation into the Serb Republic's awarding of government contracts.

The Serbian member of the country's three-member presidency, Nebojsa
Radmanovic, called over the weekend on all Bosnian Serb political parties,
citizens and nongovernmental organizations to support the Bosnian Serb
government. One Serbian veterans' association warned that Bosnia's Muslims
were secretly arming themselves, and Bishop Grigorije, head of the Serbian
Orthodox Church, warned that "nobody should play around with Republika
Srpska."

But Western diplomats and officials on both sides of the ethnic divide
stressed that the conflict was a political war of words that was unlikely to
spill over into violence. "Dodik wants to make clear that the right of the
Republika Srpska to exist is beyond dispute," said Milosevic, Dodik's
spokesman. "No one wants war."

Serbian analysts said that Dodik had no intention of seceding, at least in
the near term, and that he was using the international political vacuum in
Bosnia to cement his control over the republic.

Beyond the obvious threat of provoking a war, they said, secession was not
an attractive option for Dodik, because it would mean aligning the Serb
Republic with Serbia or Russia, which would severely diminish his power. It
also would inevitably lead to international isolation.

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mapfiles/transparent.png Srecko Latal, a Bosnia specialist at the Balkan
Investigative Reporting Network in Sarajevo, the country's capital, warned
that the West, distracted by the global financial crisis, Iraq and
Afghanistan, was ignoring trouble signs in Bosnia, in its own backyard. "The
United States and the European Union must engage, not just for the sake of
Bosnia but because the world can't afford to allow what happened the last
time," he said.

It is most obvious that the Bosnian and Croat governments use the global
financial crises, which do not distract

the West, but pushes towards a hard work and  the settlement, to promote
their own interests and try to 

ban Bosnian Serbs as constitutive citizens. I would agree with the statement
that the West is somehow “distracted”,

by Iraq and Afghanistan, and do not pay attention that in Bosnia becoming a
training spot of Muslim terrorism precisely

nourishing and providing jihad. And that in the heart of Europe.

Also it is most obvious that the prime minister of Republika Srpska is a
political target for those who would like to see 

Bosnia completely as a Muslim hardliners oasis in Europe. The accusation of
Mr. Dodik is transparent and one can easily see

what stands behind. The proverb says , the attack is the best defense.
Bosnia and Croatia have chosen the right time, in their opinion,

the global financial crisis, to attack and distract the Western public
opinion, which preoccupied by the crisis would react in 

distracted way against Bosnian Serbs. 

As for Dodik’s “ultimatum”, the word is too hard, especially if coming from
Croat and Bosnian governments.   Those who understand

Serbian, “Bosnian” or “Croat” language, would rather choose the word
“condition”.  The slamming of the door to Bosnian government

session is also a matter of mentality and not of any war intentions. All the
parties have lost the previous war and would be mad 

to start any new armed conflict, and they know it.

Sincerely

Dragan Rakic

Strasbourg

France

EU

  

 
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