http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jan/20/croatia-serbia-bosnia-balkans-conflicts/print


Sabre-rattling between Croatia and Serbia over Bosnia intensifies

Rise in vitriol between Balkan nations over future of region harks back 
to bloody conflicts of the 1990s

  
Croatian president Stipe Mesic is to stand down after a decade in power.

Croatian president Stipe Mesic is to stand down after a decade in power. 
Photograph: Armend Nimani/AFP/Getty Images

Leaders of the former Yugoslavia traded hostile invective that recalled 
the wars of the 1990s today after Croatia's president threatened armed 
intervention to halt any Serbian attempts to partition Bosnia.

Milorad Dodik, the prime minister of the Serbian half of Bosnia, accused 
the Croatian leader, Stipe Mesic, of warmongering after a blunt warning 
from Zagreb.

"If Milorad Dodik scheduled a referendum for secession … I would send 
the army," Mesic said, adding that he would "break the Bosnian Serb 
region in half". Mesic's threat also triggered a strong response in the 
Serbian capital, Belgrade.

The war of words erupted as Bosnia prepares for elections later this 
year, which diplomats and analysts expect to be marked by angry and 
destabilising nationalism on all sides.

Dodik is determined to keep Bosnia as ethnically divided as possible and 
is resisting all international attempts to forge a more functional state 
and establish central government authority. He regularly threatens to 
stage a direct vote on secession from Bosnia.

Mesic, who is to stand down after a decade as Croatian president next 
month, accused the Bosnian Serb leader of seeking to revive the failed 
Serbian policies of a decade ago aimed at establishing a "Greater Serbia".

Dodik is fighting a political war of attrition with the international 
powers who still control Bosnia and enjoy last-resort powers, nearly 15 
years after the end of the war there.

"Dodik believes that the world will tire of Bosnia and that he will 
schedule a referendum then … and then the dream of a Greater Serbia will 
finally be fulfilled," Mesic told journalists in Zagreb.

The Serbian half of Bosnia is split in two and connected by a narrow 
corridor that runs along the River Sava on the border with Croatia. 
Mesic said he could send Croat forces to the choke point. A referendum 
would result not in a Serbian breakaway, but in the destruction of the 
Serbian half of Bosnia, the Croatian president predicted.

A senior government official in Belgrade, Borislav Stefanovic, reacted 
angrily, declaring that Mesic's "moral and political authority is at 
almost zero".

Dodik said the Croatian leader was "radical and extreme" and accused him 
of warmongering after playing a key role in the wars of the 90s. Mesic 
was the last president of Yugoslavia before it collapsed in bloodshed in 
1991.

"This is a disturbing threat by a man who started his political career 
with a war and now wants to end it with a war," Dodik said. "It is a 
classic call to war."

Few observers expect Bosnia to slip into a repeat of its 1992-95 war, 
but the verbal fisticuffs in recent days is the most aggressive for 
years. The country is dysfunctional and its ethnic division entrenched, 
generating gloom about its European integration prospects in Brussels.

Lady Ashton, the EU's new foreign policy chief, has singled Bosnia out 
as the most unstable corner of Europe.

   

   guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media Limited 2010



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