http://www.balkanstudies.org/blog/icj-ruling-blow-serbia-boon-tadi%C4%87


ICJ Ruling: Blow to Serbia, Boon to Tadić

By /Srdja Trifkovic/

Ever since the U.S. intervened in Serbia’s domestic politics two years 
ago and helped the current coalition take power in Belgrade, Boris Tadić 
and his cohorts have been looking for a way to capitulate on Kosovo 
while pretending not to. The formula was simple: place all diplomatic 
eggs in one basket – that of the International Court of Justice – and 
refrain from using any other political or economic (let alone military) 
tools at Serbia’s disposal. On July 22 the ICJ performed on cue, 
declaring that Kosovo’s UDI was not illegal.

It should be noted that the ICJ has only assessed Kosovo's declaration 
of independence; it has not considered more widely Kosovo's right to 
unilateral secession from Serbia. Furthermore, the ICJ has not assessed 
either the consequences of the adoption of the UDI, namely whether 
Kosovo is a state, or the legitimacy of its recognition by a number of 
countries. The ICJ decision was unsurprising in view of the 
self-defeating which the UN General Assembly posed at Serbia's request: 
"Is the unilateral declaration of independence by the Provisional 
Institutions of Self-Government of Kosovo in accordance with 
international law?" As a former British diplomat who knows the Balkans 
well has noted 
<http://charlescrawford.biz/blog/the-icj-kosovo-ruling-now-what>, 
international law takes no notice of declarations of independence, 
unilateral or otherwise; they are irrelevant:

[I]f the town council down the road here in the UK makes a solemn 
unilateral declaration of the town's independence from the UK, the rest 
of us will make a wry smile and go back to blogging or working. The 
declaration is 'in accordance' with UK law - free speech and all that. [ 
... ] If citizens of our town en masse support the declaration of 
independence, put up road-blocks, stop paying taxes to Westminster 
and proclaim Vladimir Putin their new king with his consent, things 
begin to get more interesting. Norms are being created and broken in all 
directions. 

The ICJ has done more than its share of norm-creation. Its 
advisory opinion is deeply flawed and non-binding, but the government in 
Belgrade now has a perfect alibi for doing what it had intended to do 
all along.

Following the appointment of Vuk Jeremić as Serbia’s foreign minister in 
2007, this outcome could be predicted with near-certainty. As President 
Boris Tadić’s chief foreign policy advisor, Jeremić came to Washington 
on 18 May 2005 to testify in Congress on why Kosovo should stay within 
Serbia. In his subsequent off-the-record conversations, however, he 
assured his hosts 
<http://www.militaryphotos.net/forums/showthread.php?116726-The-Jeremic-Dossier 
<http://www.militaryphotos.net/forums/showthread.php?116726-The-Jeremic-Dossier&p=4288668&viewfull=1>
 &p=4288668&viewfull=1> 
that the task was really to sugar-coat the bitter Kosovo pill that 
Serbia would have to swallow anyway.

Two years later another advisor to Tadić, Dr. Leon Kojen, resigned in a 
blaze of publicity after Austrian Chancellor Alfred Gusenbauer declared 
<http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics-article.php?yyyy=2007 
<http://www.b92.net/eng/news/politics-article.php?yyyy=2007&mm=04&dd=13&nav_id=40666>
 &mm=04&dd=13&nav_id=40666>, 
on April 13, 2007, “We are working with Boris Tadić and his people to 
find a way to implement the essence of the Ahtisaari plan.” /Tout 
Belgrade/ knew that “Tadić’s people” meant—Vuk Jeremić. Gusenbauer’s 
indiscretion amounted to the revelation that Serbia’s head of state and 
his closest advisor were engaged in secret negotiations aimed at 
facilitating the detachment of Kosovo from Serbia—which, of course, 
/was/ “the essence of the Ahtisaari plan.” Jeremić’s quest for 
sugar-coating the bitter pill was evidently in full swing even before he 
came to the helm of Serbia’s diplomacy.

In the intervening three years Tadić and Jeremić have continued to 
pursue a dual-track policy on Kosovo. The decisive fruit of that policy 
was their disastrous decision to accept the European Union’s Eulex 
Mission in Kosovo in December 2008. Acting under an entirely 
self-created mandate, the EU thus managed to insert its mission, based 
explicitly on the provisions of the Ahtissari Plan, into Kosovo with 
Belgrade's agreement. 

That was the moment of Belgrade’s true capitulation. Everything 
else -- the ICJ ruling included -- is just a choreographed farce…
The ICJ opinion crowns two decades of U.S. policy in the former 
Yugoslavia that has been mendacious and iniquitous in equal measure. By 
retroactively condoning the Albanian UDI, the Court has made a massive 
leap into the unknown. That leap is potentially on par with Austria’s 
July 1914 ultimatum to Serbia. The fruits will be equally bitter.

Aiding and abetting Muslim designs in the Balkans, in the hope that this 
will earn some credit for the United States in the Islamic world, has 
been a major motive of American policy in the region since at least 
1992. It has never yielded any dividends, of course, but repeated 
failure only prompts the architects of the policy to redouble their efforts.

It is virtually certain that Washington will be equally supportive of an 
independent Sanjak that would connect Kosovo with Bosnia, or of any 
other putative Islamistan 
<http://www.balkanstudies.org/articles/jihadist-green-corridor-balkans>, 
from western Macedonia to southern Bulgaria ("Eastern Rumelia") to the 
Caucasus. The late Tom Lantos must be smiling approvingly wherever he is 
now, having called <http://www.wvwnews.net/story.php?id=480%20called>, 
three years ago, on “Jihadists of all color and hue” to take note of 
“yet another example that the United States leads the way for the 
creation of a predominantly Muslim country in the very heart of Europe.”

In the region, the ICJ verdict will encourage two distinct but 
interconnected trends: greater-Albanian aspirations against Macedonia, 
Montenegro, Greece, and rump-Serbia (Preševo), and pan-Islamic agitation 
for the completion of the Green Corridor – an Islamic belt anchored in 
Asia Minor and extending north-westward across the Balkans into the 
heart of Central Europe.

Beyond the Balkans, it will breed instability in each and every 
potential or actual separatist hotspot, from Galilee to Kashmir, from 
the Caucasus to Sinkiang.

Kosovo is now an expensive albatross costing American and European 
taxpayers a few billion a year. It will continue developing, not as a 
functional economy but as a black hole of criminality and terrorism. The 
ever-rising and constantly unfulfilled expectations of its unemployable 
multitudes will eventually turn – Frankenstein’s monster-like – against 
the entity’s creator. There will be many Ft. Dixes to come, over there 
and here at home.

God acts in mysterious ways. Kosovo had remained Serbian during those 
five long centuries of Ottoman darkness, to be liberated in 1912. It is 
no less Serbian now, the ugly farce in Priština and at The Hague 
notwithstanding. It will be /tangibly/ Serbian again when the current 
experiment in global hegemonism collapses, and when the very names of 
its potentates and servants – Boris Tadić and Vuk Jeremić included – are 
consigned to the Recycle Bin of history.

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