From Jerry Policoff: Two things I want to share, one a little noticed poll just out today, the other a rather startling statistic at the precinct where I am a judge here in Lancaster.
First the precinct news. I am an election judge in a relatively small, strongly Democratic and majority Hispanic precinct not known for heavy registration or strong turnout. Last year there were just under 300 registered voters in the precinct. Today when I was preparing the voting place for tomorrow I peaked at the election book. There are now 735 registered voters in the precinct - more than double the 2007 number. If this is typical and not an aberration I suspect it bodes very well for Barack Obama in Pennsylvania tomorrow. Now that poll. It is an Alaska poll conducted on November 2nd that interviewed a random sample of registered Alaska voters with land lines who voted in at least two of the last four elections. That methodology strongly favors McCain because it excludes people who use cell phones rather than land lines, and it clearly also excludes first time voters who could not have voted in two of the past four elections. National polls suggest that first time voters and cell phone users are voting overwhelmingly for Obama. So what were the results in this poll conducted in the very red state of Alaska (which gave 61% of its votes to Bush in 2004)? McCain/Palin: 47% Obama/Biden: 44% Regarding voters' opinion of Sarah Palin since she was named Vice Presidential candidate: 11% said it was more positive; 37% said it was more negative. The poll also had both Republican Senator Ted Stevens and Republican Congressman Don Young going down in defeat to their Democratic opponents, the former by 8 points and the latter by 7 points. <http://www.haysresearch.com/OC110208.htm>http://www.haysresearch.com/OC110208.htm An aberration? Perhaps, but if not Alaska has just gone from a state that was solid for McCain to an in-play toss-up state. Recent polls suggest that Arizona is also now in play (the most recent poll from Research 2000 has McCain up by only 1 point, 48% to 47%). I'm still nervous about another stolen election, but I am beginning to dare hope that Obama may win more votes than they can steal. Jerry Policoff Progressives4Pennsylvania <http://www.progressives4pennsylvania.com>www.progressives4pennsylvania.com <http://www.healthcare4AllPA.org>www.healthcare4AllPA.org 1115 Wheatland Avenue/G-3 Lancaster, Pa 17603 (home) 717-295-0237 (cell) 717-682-4434 --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to Mark Crispin Miller's "News From Underground" newsgroup. To unsubscribe, send a blank email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] OR go to http://groups.google.com/group/newsfromunderground and click on the "Unsubscribe or change membership" link in the yellow bar at the top of the page, then click the "Unsubscribe" button on the next page. For more News From Underground, visit http://markcrispinmiller.com -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
