Experts confounded: Turnout higher in Ohio in 2004

Friday,  November 7, 2008 3:20 AM
By Mark Niquette <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
THE COLUMBUS DISPATCH

http://www.dispatchpolitics.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2008/11/07/copy/turnout.ART_ART_11-07-08_A1_4GBQO6M.html?adsec=politics&sid=101

Despite a record number of registered voters this year, intense 
interest in the presidential election and the historic outcome, 
Ohio's voter turnout was lower Tuesday than in 2004, unofficial 
statistics show.

Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner is reporting 67 percent turnout, 
compared with 72 percent in 2004. She had been predicting 80 percent 
turnout this time.

The percentage could increase as provisional ballots, overseas 
ballots and other outstanding votes are included during the official 
canvass in the coming weeks.

But overall turnout still is expected to be lower than in 2004, 
leaving experts at a loss to explain it -- especially because the 
number of registered voters increased by 319,000 from four years ago.

"That's rather puzzling, given the activity level," said Paul Beck, a 
political-science professor at Ohio State University.

The total number of votes cast Tuesday declined in 69 of Ohio's 88 
counties when compared with official totals from 2004. In Franklin 
County, for example, about 10,000 fewer votes were cast this year.

Although Brunner's office said the totals include 181,000 provisional 
ballots reported so far statewide, some counties said that's not the 
case. But the turnout percentage still will be lower than 2004.

Beck and others say one possible reason is a lack of enthusiasm among 
some Republicans for Sen. John McCain this year compared with 
President Bush in 2004.

McCain received more than 317,000 fewer votes than Bush statewide, 
based on early unofficial totals.

But Sen. Barack Obama also garnered nearly 22,000 fewer votes 
statewide than Sen. John Kerry did in Ohio four years ago, despite a 
massive get-out-the-vote effort.

Another interesting result is that the counties with the largest 
increase in turnout from four years ago -- Butler, Delaware and 
Warren -- are solid Republican or GOP-leaning counties.

And the counties with the largest declines -- Cuyahoga, Montgomery 
and Stark -- are more Democratic areas.

Obama garnered more total votes than Kerry did in those three 
Republican counties. And even though his margin of victory in many 
Democratic counties was larger than Kerry's, the president-elect's 
total vote still was lower in those counties.




--
Muriel Kane Research Director
Raw Story - Raw Story Media http://www.rawstory.com [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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