Climate change hits
Australia first, and hard
Floods, fires, droughts, disease, extinctions and a dying Great 
Barrier Reef may be a hint of things to come globally.

April 11, 2009

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-ed-australia11-2009apr11,0,3038982.story

In the 1959 Gregory Peck classic "On the Beach," humanity's last 
holdouts in the aftermath of a global nuclear war huddle in Australia 
and wait for the inevitable atomic wind to carry the rest of the 
species away. When it comes to today's real-world climate crisis, 
though, Australia is going first, not last.

As Times staff writer Julie Cart reported Thursday, Australia appears 
to be experiencing the effects of climate change earlier and more 
dramatically than most of the other inhabited parts of the globe. A 
Southern Hemisphere continent that was already a land of climate 
extremes has become more so in recent years. Even as the tropical 
north is deluged by flooding and warmer ocean currents are spawning 
more powerful cyclones, the parched south and interior have turned 
into baking dead zones. The results: vast brush fires, killer heat 
waves, increased tropical diseases, ruined crops, loss of livestock, 
severe water shortages and quickening species extinction.
Climate skeptics believe that Australia is simply in the midst of a 
cyclical change in weather patterns, or that the steel-warping 
temperatures turning the interior into a Martian landscape are the 
result of a natural warming period rather than a phenomenon with 
human causes. Most of these skeptics live outside Australia. There, 
the effects are too dramatic and the science too conclusive to leave 
much doubt. The country's biggest tourist draw, the Great Barrier 
Reef -- among the world's most biologically diverse places and the 
largest structure built by living organisms -- is vanishing before 
Australians' eyes. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 
estimates that this astonishing natural wonder will be "functionally 
extinct" by 2050.

If Australia serves as a harbinger of things to come for the rest of 
the world, its political response shows how difficult it will be to 
solve the problem. Progress is being made, but it's achingly slow. A 
country that gets 80% of its electricity from coal (compared with 50% 
in the U.S.) is deeply reluctant to pay the price of switching to 
renewable energy sources; so far, the government has agreed to cut 
greenhouse gas emissions just 5% by 2020. That won't do much to 
reduce the concentration of carbon in the atmosphere and slow the 
pace of global warming.

Can the United States, where the impacts of climate change aren't yet 
nearly as apparent, be expected to do better? For Australia's sake, 
and our own, we must. Soon, you may not have to travel to the outback 
to see a desolate wasteland; it may be coming to your neighborhood.
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