Here are many pieces on Iran's election, several 
of them laying out the current evidence that it
was stolen by Ahmadinejad--a massive vote theft 
that the US media (both mainstream and 
left/liberal) is reporting, since Iran, being one 
of our official enemies, is fair game, so that 
it's
okay to nail the crimes against democracy committed there.

But a selective outcry over that election theft, 
implying that such things "can't happen here,"
isn't just dishonest. Such humbug also is itself 
an actual crime against democracy, because
it tacitly helps keep the truth about our rigged 
democracy concealed, so that our election
thieves walk free, and the rigging can go on and on.

So, in saying NO to Ahmadinejad's election theft, 
we also must say NO to the hypocrisy that
would decry such foul play there, and only there.

And in standing up for those Iranians who are 
defying that Islamist coup, let's also recognize
them as our allies in the global struggle for democracy.

What we need now (as I have said before, and will 
keep saying) is a global conference
on election fraud--a conference to be hosted 
here, so as to make clear that the USA
is not immune to what ails places like Iran (and 
Mexico, and Pakistan, and Kenya, and
Armenia, and Russia, and Thailand, and so on), 
but is itself severely stricken--indeed,
largely crippled--by that illness.*

MCM

*This illness is no less debilitating for Obama's 
victory: a win that was in fact far greater
than we think, since millions of his 
voters--seven million at least--were 
disenfranchised
on Election Day.

p.s. Please pay particular attention to the 
pieces by Brad Friedman, Juan Cole and
Stephen Zunes below.


<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jun/13/iran-election-ahmadinejad-wins-president>http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jun/13/iran-election-ahmadinejad-wins-president

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8060304.stm

http://www.thenation.com/blogs/dreyfuss/443348

  BRAD BLOG ALERT
June 13, 2009
<http://www.bradblog.com/>
<http://www.bradblog.com/?p=7224> 
<http://www.bradblog.com/?p=7224>Iran's 2009 
Election Results Suggest Massive Fraud...Just 
Like Ohio's in 2004
Without citizen oversight and transparency, 
'faith-based' elections threaten democracy no 
matter where they are held...
It sounds a lot like Ohio 2004. A less than 
popular old-line incumbent facing massive public 
demonstrations against him and in favor of his 
main progressive challenger promising reform; 
polls that suggest a swell of support for the 
challenger; unprecedented turnout on Election 
Day; long lines at polling places; paper ballot 
shortages and names missing from voter rolls; 
widespread rumors, concerns and evidence of voter 
intimidation and vote-rigging, all accompanied 
nonetheless by a general feeling among the 
populace that the incumbent has been turned out, 
only to learn from officials, late on Election 
Night, that the incumbent has been declared the 
winner of a second term.
The most substantive difference from Ohio 2004, 
however: the declared winner President Mahmoud 
Ahmadinejad is said to have defeated his main 
opponent Mir Hossein Mousavi by a 63% to 34% 
"landslide", instead of the razor-thin margin 
seen in Ohio (and across the popular vote in the 
rest of the nation). In Iran, a result of 
anything less than 50% + 1 for the leading 
candidate would have triggered a national runoff 
election.
The other main differences between Iran '09 and 
Ohio '04: New York Times is already asking 
"Landslide or Fraud?" this morning; in Iran, 
supporters of the challenger are taking to the 
streets; and the challenger himself has already 
called the election results a "fraud"...
FULL STORY: <http://www.bradblog.com/?p=7224>http://www.bradblog.com/?p=7224


<http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?v=2&c=18znMDfqE1XSHQb1%2BWbkmgAP3z7LKQJN>Has
 
the Election Been Stolen in Iran?
By Stephen Zunes, AlterNet
If it is true that Ahmadinejad's victory is 
fraudulent, it'll be a dream come true for those 
pushing a more confrontational approach with 
Iran. 
<http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?v=2&c=Di0KLX%2Fut2QkrnxCnaBULwAP3z7LKQJN>Read
 more ยป


<http://www.juancole.com/2009/06/stealing-iranian-election.html>Stealing 
the Iranian Election

Top Pieces of Evidence that the Iranian Presidential Election Was Stolen

1. It is claimed that Ahmadinejad won the city of 
Tabriz with 57%. His main opponent, Mir Hossein 
Mousavi, is an Azeri from Azerbaijan province, of 
which Tabriz is the capital. Mousavi, according 
to such polls as exist in Iran and widespread 
anecdotal evidence, did better in cities 
and <http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1901667,00.html>is 
popular in Azerbaijan. Certainly, his rallies 
there were very well attended. So for an Azeri 
urban center to go so heavily for Ahmadinejad 
just makes no sense. In past 
elections, 
<http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2009/06/2009613121740611636.html>Azeris
 
voted disproportionately for even minor 
presidential candidateswho hailed from that 
province.

2. Ahmadinejad is claimed to have taken Tehran by 
over 50%. Again, he is not popular in the cities, 
even, as he claims, in the poor neighborhoods, in 
part because his policies have produced high 
inflation and high unemployment. That he should 
have won Tehran is so unlikely as to raise real 
questions about these numbers. [Ahmadinejad is 
widely thought only to have won Tehran in 2005 
because the pro-reform groups were discouraged 
and stayed home rather than voting.)

3. It is claimed that cleric Mehdi Karoubi, the 
other reformist candidate, received 320,000 
votes, and that 
he 
<http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2009/06/2009613121740611636.html>did
 
poorly in Iran's western provinces, even losing 
in Luristan. He is a Lur and is popular in the 
west, including in Kurdistan. Karoubi received 17 
percent of the vote in the first round of 
presidential elections in 2005. While it is 
possible that his support has substantially 
declined since then, it is hard to believe that 
he would get less than one percent of the vote. 
Moreover, he should have at least done well in 
the west, which he did not.

4. Mohsen Rezaie, who polled very badly and seems 
not to have been at all popular, is alleged to 
have received 670,000 votes, twice as much as 
Karoubi.

5. Ahmadinejad's numbers were fairly standard 
across Iran's provinces. In past elections there 
have been substantial ethnic and provincial 
variations.

6. The Electoral Commission is supposed to wait 
three days before certifying the results of the 
election, at which point they are to inform 
Khamenei of the results, and he signs off on the 
process. The three-day delay is intended to allow 
charges of irregularities to be adjudicated. In 
this case, Khamenei immediately approved the 
alleged results.

I am aware of the difficulties of catching 
history on the run. Some explanation may emerge 
for Ahmadinejad's upset that does not involve 
fraud. For instance, it is possible that he has 
gotten the credit for spreading around a lot of 
oil money in the form of favors to his 
constituencies, but somehow managed to escape the 
blame for the resultant high inflation.

But just as a first reaction, this post-election 
situation looks to me like a crime scene. And 
here is how I would reconstruct the crime.

As the real numbers started coming into the 
Interior Ministry late on Friday, it became clear 
that Mousavi was 
winning. 
<http://www.djavadi.net/2009/06/13/an-electoral-coup-in-iran/>Mousavi's 
spokesman abroad, filmmaker Mohsen Makhbalbaf, 
alleges that the ministry even contacted 
Mousavi's camp and said it would begin preparing 
the population for this victory.

The ministry must have informed Supreme Leader 
Ali Khamenei, who has had a feud with Mousavi for 
over 30 years, who found this outcome 
unsupportable. And, apparently, he and other top 
leaders had been so confident of an Ahmadinejad 
win that they had made no contingency plans for 
what to do if he looked as though he would lose.

They therefore sent blanket instructions to the 
Electoral Commission to falsify the vote counts.

This clumsy cover-up then produced the incredible 
result of an Ahmadinejad landlside in Tabriz and 
Isfahan and Tehran.

The reason for which Rezaie and Karoubi had to be 
assigned such implausibly low totals was to make 
sure Ahmadinejad got over 51% of the vote and 
thus avoid a run-off between him and Mousavi next 
Friday, which would have given the Mousavi camp a 
chance to attempt to rally the public and 
forestall further tampering with the election.

This scenario accounts for all known anomalies 
and is consistent with what we know of the major 
players.

<http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2009/06/13/iran/>More 
in my column, just out, in Salon.com: 
"Ahmadinejad reelected under cloud of fraud," 
where I argue that the outcome of the 
presidential elections does not and should not 
affect Obama's policies toward that country-- 
they are the right policies and should be 
followed through on regardless.

The public demonstrations against the result 
don't appear to be that big. In the past decade, 
reformers have always backed down in Iran when 
challenged by hardliners, in part because no one 
wants to relive the horrible Great Terror of the 
1980s after the revolution, when faction-fighting 
produced blood in the streets. Mousavi is still 
from that generation.

My own guess is that you have to get a leadership 
born after the revolution, who does not remember 
it and its sanguinary aftermath, before you get 
people willing to push back hard against the 
rightwingers.

So, there are protests against an allegedly 
stolen election. The Basij paramilitary thugs and 
the Iranian Revolutionary Guards will break some 
heads. Unless there has been a sea change in 
Iran, the theocrats may well get away with this 
soft coup for the moment. But the regime's 
legitimacy will take a critical hit, and its 
ultimate demise may have been hastened, over the 
next decade or two.

What I've said is full of speculation and 
informed guesses. I'd be glad to be proved wrong 
on several of these points. Maybe I will be.

PS: Here's the data:

So <http://www.presstv.com/detail.aspx?id=98012&sectionid=351020101>here 
is what Interior Minister Sadeq Mahsouli said 
Saturday about the outcome of the Iranian 
presidential elections:

"Of 39,165,191 votes counted (85 percent), 
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won the election with 
24,527,516 (62.63 percent)." 

He announced that Mir-Hossein Mousavi came in 
second with 13,216,411 votes (33.75 percent).

Mohsen Rezaei got 678,240 votes (1.73 percent) 

Mehdi Karroubi with 333,635 votes (0.85 percent).

He put the void ballots at 409,389 (1.04 percent).



End/ (Not Continued)

posted by Juan Cole 
@ <http://www.juancole.com/2009/06/stealing-iranian-election.html>6/13/2009 
12:15:00 PM
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