*The Shaky Case That Russia Manipulated Social Media to Tip the 2016
Election*
*by Gareth Porter*
October 10, 2018
*https://consortiumnews.com/2018/10/10/the-shaky-case-that-russia-manipulated-social-media-to-tip-the-2016-election/
<https://consortiumnews.com/2018/10/10/the-shaky-case-that-russia-manipulated-social-media-to-tip-the-2016-election/>*
<http://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://consortiumnews.com/2018/10/10/the-shaky-case-that-russia-manipulated-social-media-to-tip-the-2016-election/>

The idea promoted by the NYT’s Shane & Mazzetti that the Russian government
seriously threatened to determine the 2016 election does not hold up when
the larger social media context is examined more closely, reports Gareth
Porter.


*By Gareth Porter**Special to Consortium News *

<https://consortiumnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/porter_gareth-600x675.jpg>In
their long recapitulation of the case that Russia subverted the 2016
election, Scott Shane and Mark Mazzetti of *The New York Times* painted a
picture
<https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/09/20/us/politics/russia-interference-election-trump-clinton.html>
of
highly effective Russian government exploitation of social media for that
purpose. Shane and Mazzetti asserted that “anti-Clinton, pro-Trump messages
shared with millions of voters by Russia could have made the difference” in
the election.

“What we now know with certainty: The Russians carried out a landmark
intervention that will be examined for decades to come,” they write
elsewhere in the 10,000-word article.

But an investigation of the data they cite to show that the Russian
campaigns on Facebook and Twitter were highly effective reveals a gross
betrayal of journalistic responsibility. Shane and Mazzetti have
constructed a case that is fundamentally false and misleading with
statistics that exaggerate the real effectiveness of social media efforts
by orders of magnitude.

*‘Reaching’ 129 Million Americans *

The Internet Research Agency (IRA), is a privately-owned company run by
entrepreneur Vevgeny V. Prigozhin, who has ties with President Vladimir
Putin. Its employees poured out large numbers of social media postings
apparently aimed at stoking racial and cultural tensions in the United
States and trying to influence U.S. voters in regard to the presidential
election, as Shane and Mazzetti suggest. They even adopted false U.S.
personas <https://www.justice.gov/file/1035477/download> online to get
people to attend rallies and conduct other political activities. (An
alternative explanation
<http://www.moonofalabama.org/2018/02/mueller-indictement-the-russian-influence-is-a-commercial-marketing-scheme.html>
is
that IRA is a purely commercial, and not political, operation.)

Whether those efforts even came close to swaying U.S. voters in the 2016
presidential election, as Shane and Mazzetti claimed, is another matter.

Shane and Mazzetti might argue that they are merely citing figures
published by the social media giants Facebook and Twitter, but they
systematically failed to report the detailed explanations behind the gross
figures used in each case, which falsified their significance.

Their most dramatic assertions came in reporting the alleged results of the
IRA’s efforts on Facebook. “Even by the vertiginous standards of social
media,” they wrote, “the reach of their effort was impressive: 2,700 fake
Facebook accounts, 80,000 posts, many of them elaborate images with catchy
slogans, and an eventual audience of 126 million Americans on Facebook
alone.”
<https://consortiumnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/shane-and-mazzetti.jpg>

Shane and Mazzetti: Playing loose with the facts.

Then, to dramatize that “eventual audience” figure, they observed, “That
was not far short of the 137 million people who would vote in the 2016
presidential elections.”

But as impressive as these figures may appear at first glance, they don’t
really indicate an effective attack on the U.S. election process at all. In
fact, without deeper inquiry into their meaning, those figures were grossly
misleading.

*snip>*

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