https://consortiumnews.com/2018/10/16/israels-50-year-time-bomb/

Israel’s 50-Year Time Bomb
October 16, 2018 • 27 Comments
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In the quest to change Israel’s very nature, the Netanyahu government is
pushing Palestinians to the edge – with the support of the Trump White
House, says Dan Steinbock.


*By Dan Steinbock**Special to Consortium News*

<https://consortiumnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/SteinbockDan_face.jpg>

The Trump White House and the Netanyahu government are fostering an
extraordinary time bomb between Israel and Palestine in the name of “peace
and progress,” warned a recent report by the International Monetary Fund
(IMF). The report unsurprisingly said that “deepening rifts between key
stakeholders and surging violence in Gaza further imperil prospects for
peace.”

While economic and strategic polarization is steadily deepening between the
two sides, the “peace initiatives” of the Trump White House are undermining
half a century of American diplomacy and pushing the region closer to an
abyss.

In the past, the Netanyahu government has vehemently opposed all parallels
with South African apartheid. Unfortunately, new data suggests that under
apartheid South African blacks had more to hope for than Palestinians today.

*Unsettling Parallels*

Between 1994 and 2017, Israeli GDP per capita, adjusted to purchasing power
parity, increased by 150 percent; in the West Bank and Gaza, the comparable
figure was 160 percent. Yet, the Palestinian starting-point is so low that
progress in living standards is largely fiction.
<https://consortiumnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Fig-a-GDP-per-capita.jpg>

Figure a: GDP per Capita PP: Israel Vs West Bank and Gaza (1994-2017) (World
Bank).

In 1994 – amid the peace talks in Oslo – Palestinian living standards were
only 6.4 percent ($1,526) of the Israeli level ($23,693) (*Figure a*). At
the time, the hope was that peace would bring increasing stability, which
would foster prosperity and rapid catch-up growth – until the radical-right
assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin triggered still another cycle
of violence.

Last year, Palestinian living standards were about 7.3 percent ($2,494) of
the Israeli level ($34,135). After more than two decades of new wars and
friction, terrorism and restrictions, the catch-up has amounted to less
than a percentage point.

Let’s set aside political debates about the causes and only focus on
economic facts; i.e., changes in income polarization. And let’s compare the
last two decades of apartheid South Africa with the past two decades
between Israel and Palestinians. In the mid-70s, black South Africans’
annual per capita income relative to white levels was about 8.6 percent;
that is, two percent higher relative to the Palestinian level vis-a-vis the
Israelis.

As the apartheid came to an end in a series of steps that led to the
formation of a democratic government in 1994, black South Africans’ annual
per capita income relative to the whites climbed to almost 14 percent
whereas the comparable Palestinian level remained only *half* of that
figure last year (*Figure b*).

Ironically, South African apartheid was more conducive to economic progress
in its last two decades than life in the West Bank and Gaza in the past two
decades.

Moreover, the Netanyahu government’s economic policies have also
dramatically increased economic polarization in Israel. In the early 1990s,
the Gini coefficient, a measure of inequality, was around 35 in Israel, at
the level of Portugal and Italy. Closer to 43 today, it is among the
highest in OECD countries, and at the level of Nigeria and Zimbabwe. But
there may be still worse ahead.

*snip>*

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