It’s Game Over: the Swedish-Belarusian Herd Immunity Model Has Won*One
third of Stockholmers have already had Covid-19, shook it off, and are now
immune*
The Flat Curve Society
<https://www.anti-empire.com/tag/the-flat-curve-society/>
Ulrika Engström <https://www.anti-empire.com/guest-author/ulrika_engstr__m/>
 22 Apr 20

https://www.anti-empire.com/its-game-over-and-the-swedish-belarusian-herd-immunity-model-has-won/

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Great comment on the story by Jon Hellevig
<https://www.facebook.com/jonhellevig/posts/2722196954576346>:

Game over. The Swedish-Belarussian model has won. Herd immunity is the way
to go. Study and random testing shows that 600,000 or one-third of
Stockholm county’s population have had the corona infection.

They had no symptoms or so little they did not even know they had it. Some
1,500 died, mortality 0.25%. In tough competition, the seasonal flu is
still leading. 0.25% is share of those infected, the mortality to the whole
population would be 0.015%, which would make the seasonal flu win hands
down.

Hope when Putin hears about this today he orders Mayor Sobyanin to tear
down his cybergulag, as fun as he might have in experimenting in hype
technology and people’s lives.

------------------------------

Today, the Public Health Authority presented a new study that estimates
that one third of everyone in Stockholm County will be infected with
sars-cov-2 on May 1st this year. There will be about 600,000 people.

Many unconfirmed cases

The study is a mathematical modeling of the spread of the virus in
Stockholm County. It is based partly on the so-called Stockholm study that
was conducted a few weeks ago when randomly tested 700 Stockholmers and
partly the new infected cases that are reported daily.

– What is surprising is that there are so many cases, 99 percent of all
cases, that are completely unconfirmed, says Lisa Brouwers, head of
analysis at the Public Health Authority.

Unknown number of infected other Sweden

The Public Health Authority study comes to the same results as the
mathematician Tom Britton’s calculations. This weekend he presented a study
which also indicates that 30 percent of the population in Stockholm has had
covid-19.

What it looks like in the rest of Sweden there are no calculations yet, but
the high proportion of infected in Stockholm differs from the rest of the
world.

“Preliminary data indicates that only a small proportion of the world’s
population has become infected, no more than two to three percent,” WHO
Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said at a press conference
yesterday Monday.

Get in France

Yesterday, French Institute Pasteur also presented a study that calculates
that six percent of French people will have been infected on May 11 this
year.

*Click on the link for the rest.*

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