*The panicky decision not to hold a regular election this November, the CDC's* *dystopian "guidelines" for "reopening" elementary and high schools after* *summer break (making them like high-security prisons), and the suicidal plans * *of many colleges and universities to **offer mostly online courses in the fall, all * *vividly attest to the remarkable **success of the **Great Fear that has "us" cowering * *i**n anticipation of a "second **wave" as lethal as the first (although the first was not * *so lethal after all)—a **catastrophic "second wave" the likes of which we've never * *seen: not after **the deadly flu season in 1969, not after SARS in 2003, not after the * *swine flu **in **2009, nor after any other notable pandemic. *
*In short, "we" seem peculiarly resigned to living under lockdown, or something * *very **like it, from now on: an awesome victory for the lords of propaganda, and* *a huge loss for humanity, if we don't see that "staying safe" like **this will not just* *make that "second wave" more likely, but—far worse—rob us all of everything* *that makes our lives worth living. * *MCM * *From Keith Rushworth:* *The Basic Susceptible-Infected-Resistant (SIR) model in epidemiology shows a novel infection * *first spreading rapidly through a theoretically 100% susceptible population, then slowing as the * *number of infected-recovered, and therefore resistant, people increases. Eventually, the number * *of resistant people becomes too great for the infection to progress further. This is herd immunity * *and the end of the epidemic. * *https://epidemiologyexplained.com/epidemiology-for-dummies-what-you-ought-to-know/ <https://epidemiologyexplained.com/epidemiology-for-dummies-what-you-ought-to-know/>* *If the progress of the infection is interfered with—say, by lockdown—then when that interference is * *removed, there should, theoretically, be a Second Wave. Such an event can never be as big as the * *first wave, and in any event assumes that the lockdown is/was effective. Norway apparently had * *an extremely effective lockdown, hence when they relaxed there should have been a serious * *Second Wave. There wasn't. Not even a small one. * *https://epidemiologyexplained.com/norwegian-health-authority-report/ <https://epidemiologyexplained.com/norwegian-health-authority-report/>. * *Norwegian Prime Minister apologised for the lockdown there. * *In essence, the cases and deaths in different countries do not correlate well with tightness of * *lockdown, which indicates that they do not work, or do not work very well, hence there is no * *sound reason to assume a Second Wave. However, Second Wave is excellent fear porn.* -- If you appreciate News From Underground, please consider making a donation — either a one-time gift or a monthly subscription: http://markcrispinmiller.com/support/ Thank you for your support. Ways to unsubscribe: 1) send a blank email to [email protected] PLEASE NOTE: you must unsubscribe using the SAME email with which you subscribed 2) go to http://groups.google.com/group/newsfromunderground and click on the "Unsubscribe or change membership" link in the yellow bar at the top of the page, then click the "Unsubscribe" button on the next page. For more News From Underground, visit http://markcrispinmiller.com --- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "News From Underground" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/newsfromunderground/CAGxB6W_HxhHAU%2BKpjCfCngvAek4epcKGjB%2BHrZhAjP1Eo4n59Q%40mail.gmail.com.
