Grazie Juan-Carlos.
"The new paper" a cui l'articolo fa riferimento è “The Simple
Macroeconomics of AI,” pubblicata su "Economic Policy" nell'agosto 2024
https://academic.oup.com/economicpolicy/article/40/121/13/7728473 , ma
uscita già come preprint nel maggio dello stesso anno.
Il paragrafo conclusivo mi sembra molto ma molto esplicito su quale sia
la situazione attuale e i problemi da risolvere (grassetto mio).
My assessment is that there are indeed much bigger gains to be had from
generative AI, which is a promising technology, but these gains will
remain elusive unless there is a fundamental reorientation of the
industry, including perhaps a *major change in the architecture of the
most common generative AI models*, such as the LLMs, in order to *focus
on reliable information that can increase the marginal productivity of
different kinds of worker*s, rather than prioritizing the development of
general human-like conversational tools. The *general-purpose nature of
the current approach to generative AI could be ill-suited for providing
such reliable information*. To put it simply, it remains an open
question whether we need foundation models (or the current kind of LLMs)
that can engage in human-like conversations and write Shakespearean
sonnets if what we want is reliable information useful for educators,
healthcare professionals, electricians, plumbers and other skilled workers.
Ciao, Enrico
Il 08/02/2025 08:33, J.C. DE MARTIN ha scritto:
https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/a-new-look-economics-ai
"Estimating that only about 5% of tasks will be able to be profitably
performed by AI within that time frame, the GDP boost would likely be
closer to 1% over that period, Acemoglu suggests. This is a
“nontrivial, but modest effect, and certainly much less than both the
revolutionary changes some are predicting and the less hyperbolic but
still substantial improvements forecast by Goldman Sachs and the
McKinsey Global Institute,” he writes."
Opps.
jc
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https://www.hoepli.it/libro/la-rivoluzione-informatica/9788896069516.html
======================================================
Prof. Enrico Nardelli
Past President di "Informatics Europe"
Direttore del Laboratorio Nazionale "Informatica e Scuola" del CINI
Dipartimento di Matematica - Università di Roma "Tor Vergata"
Via della Ricerca Scientifica snc - 00133 Roma
home page: https://www.mat.uniroma2.it/~nardelli
blog: https://link-and-think.blogspot.it/
tel: +39 06 7259.4204 fax: +39 06 7259.4699
mobile: +39 335 590.2331 e-mail: [email protected]
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