*The Branch Covidians won't even read this, much less consider it, as*
*there's no arguing with religion.*

*MCM *

Lockdowns and Mask Mandates Do Not Lead to Reduced COVID Transmission Rates
or Deaths, New Study Suggests
https://www.aier.org/article/lockdowns-and-mask-mandates-do-not-lead-to-reduced-covid-transmission-rates-or-deaths-new-study-suggests/

[image: Stephen C. Miller]Stephen C. Miller
<https://www.aier.org/staff/stephen-c-miller/>
– August 26, 2020

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Anew National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) working paper
<https://www.nber.org/papers/w27719.pdf> by Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky,
and Tao Zha focused on countries and U.S. states with more than 1,000 COVID
deaths as of late July. In all, the study included 25 U.S. states and 23
countries.

Based on their analysis, the authors present four “Stylized Facts” about
COVID-19, which are:

   1. Once a region reaches 25 total COVID deaths, within a month the
   growth rate in deaths per day falls to approximately zero. In other words,
   no matter the country or state and its policies, deaths per day stop
   increasing within 20-30 days of passing a threshold of 25 deaths.
   2. Once that happens, deaths per day either begin to fall or the trend
   remains flat.
   3. The variability in death trends across regions has fallen sharply
   since the beginning of the epidemic and remains low. All states studied,
   all countries studied, have become more similar in their trends and have
   remained so.
   4. Observations 1-3 suggest that the effective reproduction number, *R*,
   has hovered around one worldwide after the first 30 days of the epidemic.

The paper’s conclusion is that the data trends observed above likely
indicate that nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) – such as lockdowns,
closures, travel restrictions, stay-home orders, event bans, quarantines,
curfews, and mask mandates – do not seem to affect virus transmission rates
overall.

Why? Because those policies have varied in their timing and implementation
across countries and states, but the trends in outcomes do not.

*Click on the link for the rest.*
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