*This admirably tactful and meticulous analysis, by a scientist who **worked
for years*
*in the **pharmaceutical industry, demolishes the British government's *
*catastrophic *
*policy **re: COVID-19, and the government-and-media's disgraceful fear-*
*mongering, *
*by shrieking endlessly about the rise in "cases" that aren't cases. *

*This is one to share as widely as we can, because the crime nailed so
lucidly by *
*Dr. Yeadon is also being perpetrated here, and elsewhere all around the
world, at*
*catastrophic cost.*


*MCM *

*"Because of the high false positive rate and the low prevalence, almost
every positive test, *
*a so-called case, identified by Pillar 2 since May of this year has been a
FALSE POSITIVE. *
*Not just a few percent. Not a quarter or even a half of the positives are
FALSE, but around *
*90% of them. Put simply, the number of people Mr Hancock sombrely tells us
about is an *
*overestimate by a factor of about ten-fold. Earlier in the summer, it was
an overestimate by*
* about 20-fold."*





*- <https://lockdownsceptics.org/contents/>- - Search
   
<https://lockdownsceptics.org/lies-damned-lies-and-health-statistics-the-deadly-danger-of-false-positives/#>*

Lies, Damned Lies and Health Statistics – the Deadly Danger of False
Positives
20 September 2020

by Dr Michael Yeadon

https://lockdownsceptics.org/lies-damned-lies-and-health-statistics-the-deadly-danger-of-false-positives/

*I never expected to be writing something like this. I am an ordinary
person, recently semi-retired from a career in the pharmaceutical industry
and biotech, where I spent over 30 years trying to solve problems of
disease understanding and seek new treatments for allergic and inflammatory
disorders of lung and skin. I’ve always been interested in problem solving,
so when anything biological comes along, my attention is drawn to it. Come
2020, came SARS-CoV-2. I’ve written about the pandemic
<https://lockdownsceptics.org/addressing-the-cv19-second-wave/> as
objectively as I could. The scientific method never leaves a person who
trained and worked as a professional scientist. Please do read that piece.
My co-authors & I will submit it to the normal rigours of peer review, but
that process is slow and many pieces of new science this year have come to
attention through pre-print servers and other less conventional outlets.*

*While paying close attention to data, we all initially focused on the sad
matter of deaths. I found it remarkable that, in discussing the COVID-19
related deaths, most people I spoke to had no idea of large numbers. Asked
approximately how many people a year die in the UK in the ordinary course
of events, each a personal tragedy, They usually didn’t know. I had to
inform them it is around 620,000, sometimes less if we had a mild winter,
sometimes quite a bit higher if we had a severe ’flu season. I mention this
number because we know that around 42,000 people have died with or of
COVID-19. While it’s a huge number of people, its ‘only’ 0.06% of the UK
population. Its not a coincidence that this is almost the same proportion
who have died with or of COVID-19 in each of the heavily infected European
countries – for example, Sweden. The annual all-causes mortality of 620,000
amounts to 1,700 per day, lower in summer and higher in winter. That has
always been the lot of humans in the temperate zones. So for context,
42,000 is about ~24 days worth of normal mortality. Please know I am not
minimising it, just trying to get some perspective on it. Deaths of this
magnitude are not uncommon, and can occur in the more severe flu seasons.
Flu vaccines help a little, but on only three occasions in the last decade
did vaccination reach 50% effectiveness. They’re good, but they’ve never
been magic bullets for respiratory viruses. Instead, we have learned to
live with such viruses, ranging from numerous common colds all the way to
pneumonias which can kill. Medicines and human caring do their best.*

*Click on the link for the rest.*
---

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